Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
260
FXUS64 KOUN 211927
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
227 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024

Extensive cloud cover has kept temperatures well below late July
averages this afternoon, especially across northern and central
portions of the area, where temperatures have barely reached 80
degrees as of early afternoon in some spots.

Lingering surface moisture and light winds could lead to some patchy
fog development tonight, especially in areas that saw rain this
morning. This will also depend on the degree in which clouds clear
tonight, which appears to be the most likely across northern
Oklahoma.

Below normal temperatures continue into the day on Monday with
highs in the low to mid 80s. Low chances (20-30%) for showers and
storms will linger across southeast Oklahoma in the vicinity of a
weak surface boundary and greater boundary layer moisture.

Ware

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024

Central and eastern US troughing will persist over the area through
at least midweek with the western US ridge nearly stationary across
the desert southwest. Rain chances will shift mainly into Texas
during this period, though at least low chances will linger across
southern/southeastern parts of the area. Temperatures will remain
below average through Wednesday.

The eastern US trough begins to lift out later this week as ridging
attempts to build eastward, but weak upper troughing will persist
over the southern plains through next weekend. This will mitigate
our inevitable warmup, with temperatures only increasing to near to
slightly above average by Saturday and Sunday. Low shower/storm
chances will persist across southeast Oklahoma through next weekend
where better moisture/instability will remain.

Ware

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024

MVFR cigs across most terminals will persist for at least the
first 2 or 3 hours of forecast, before cigs expected to rise into
the VFR cat. VC SHRA/TSRA will be included across
central/southeast Oklahoma terminals for this afternoon near upper
shear axis and some heating. Light, relatively moist
upslope/easterly flow overnight tonight may result in areas of
fog and/or stratus early tomorrow morning. This will be addressed
in future forecasts as confidence in occurrence improves.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  82  66  88 /  10  10   0  10
Hobart OK         65  86  65  91 /   0  10   0  10
Wichita Falls TX  69  86  67  91 /  10  10  10  10
Gage OK           62  86  64  91 /  10   0   0  10
Ponca City OK     64  86  65  90 /  10   0   0  10
Durant OK         70  85  69  88 /  30  30  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...11