Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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861 FXUS64 KOUN 251057 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 457 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 456 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 - A winter storm continues with additional snowfall totals of 2 to 5 inches (mainly along a line from Altus to Ada) possible. - Dangerously cold wind chills will continue through Tuesday, with wind chills below 0F likely each morning. && .NEAR TERM... (Through Sunday) Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 We`re finally coming to the tail end of the snowfall. Overnight snowfall continues to be driven by warm air advection, followed by one last synoptically driven band Sunday morning as the upper wave moves through. There remains a low chance for some lingering flurries into the afternoon, but most of the accumulating snow should be done by noon. As for amounts, we`re looking at another 2 to 5 inches of snow, mainly along an Altus to Stillwater line, with the highest totals expected in central / north central Oklahoma. That said, deformation banding + high SLRs could result in some locally higher amounts. Sleet continues in south central Oklahoma, though that should gradually transition to snow over the next several hours. The extreme cold continues as well (unfortunately, that will persist for a while longer). This morning we will again see wind chills in the -5 to -20 degree range, with highs confined to the teens. Day && .SHORT TERM... (Sunday night through Tuesday night) Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 A second wave moves through Monday morning which may result in a few flurries in northwest Oklahoma. More significantly, the dangerously cold wind chills continue, with minimum values ranging from -5 to -15 degrees. Afternoon highs will remain well below freezing (in the 20s), given snowpack and a persistent cold air mass, despite sunny skies. Tuesday morning lows will be in the single digits to lower teens, with wind chills ranging from -5 to -10 degrees. By Tuesday afternoon we may see highs start to come above freezing (though snowpack adds some uncertainty here). Day && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1220 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 Temperatures will remain below normal with highs in the 30s and 40s and lows in the teens mid to late week. An upper low over the northeast CONUS will bring another wave through next weekend. Currently, this appears to be a glancing blow bringing slightly cooler temperatures and low chances for light snow, but there is still a decent amount of spread in the ensemble solutions. Beyond that, ensembles show a gradual warming trend into next week. Day && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 456 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 A final band of snow with IFR/LIFR visibilities is near I-44 currently and moving eastward. Behind it, conditions are improving with MVFR ceilings trending toward IFR throughout the morning. There is some potential for blowing snow to reduce visibilities as winds increase out of the north during the day. Winds should reduce and skies should begin to clear out after sunset. Meister && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 14 1 24 9 / 80 0 0 0 Hobart OK 18 -2 24 4 / 70 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 17 0 24 7 / 70 0 0 0 Gage OK 19 2 29 10 / 0 10 0 0 Ponca City OK 17 0 23 6 / 50 0 0 0 Durant OK 17 5 28 8 / 50 10 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for OKZ004>048- 050>052. Winter Storm Warning until noon CST today for OKZ004>048-050>052. TX...Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for TXZ083>090. Winter Storm Warning until noon CST today for TXZ083>090. && $$ NEAR TERM...14 SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...04