Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 132325
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
625 PM CDT Sat Aug 13 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 1156 AM CDT Sat Aug 13 2022

Heat will continue to be on the increase beyond Sunday. Light to
moderate south winds will persist as a lee trough continues over
Colorado and northern New Mexico. Daytime cumulus will be about the
extent of the clouds through Sunday. Little change is expected
through Sunday evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat Aug 13 2022

The center of a mid and upper level ridge will remain over the
Panhandles and western Oklahoma through Tuesday.  This will bring
hot and dry conditions through early next week.

A cold front is expected to approach far northern Oklahoma early
Tuesday morning, as a shortwave trough moves across the central
Plains.  By Tuesday afternoon, the cold front may have advanced into
central Oklahoma with somewhat cooler temperatures across northern
parts of the state.  Southwest surface winds ahead of the front
will result in widespread triple digit heat with some heat index
values above 105.  Despite the front, shower and thunderstorm
chances will remain around 20-30 percent near and north of the cold
front.

High temperatures Wednesday will average 5-15 degrees cooler than
Tuesday, with better rain and storm chances shifting into
southern Oklahoma and northern Texas.

Upslope flow over the higher terrain to our west should result in
at least scattered showers and storms Wednesday night into Thursday.
Some of this precipitation may move into southwest Oklahoma and
northern Texas Thursday morning/afternoon.

Rain chances will increase again Saturday, as another shortwave
trough approaches the southern Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Sat Aug 13 2022

Light southerly wind and VFR conditions expected through this
forecast cycle.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  99  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         73 101  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  74 102  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           70  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     72 102  73 102 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         69 101  75 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...11


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