Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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388
FXUS64 KLCH 190824
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
324 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear across the region tonight with temperatures around 50
across Central Louisiana.

Main issue in the short term has been the persistent coastal
flooding. P-ETTS guidance continues to indicate that tide levels
will continue to remain 1.5 to 2 feet above MHHW and due to long
duration of high tides the response time is short due to full
storage in the marshes. This look to continue for 3 more tide
cycles until a frontal passage on Monday.

Moisture begins to increase again late today into tonight ahead
of a front. Both GFS and ECMWF indicate a few showers and
thunderstorms developing late tonight into Sunday in the warm air
advection regime. The greatest potential for showers and
thunderstorms this forecast cycle will come along and ahead of a
cold front Monday with activity diminishing behind the front
Monday night. Front will be followed by clear and cool conditions
Tuesday and Wednesday.

Return flow starts Thursday ahead of the next front with the
chances for showers and thunderstorms increasing again into the
end of the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  82  65  86  69 /   0  10  30  40
LCH  84  71  86  73 /   0  20  20  50
LFT  84  69  86  73 /   0  20  20  40
BPT  84  73  86  73 /  10  20  20  60

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday for LAZ041-052>054-
     073-074.

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday for TXZ215-216.

GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...27



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