032
FXUS65 KLKN 080821
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
121 AM PDT Wed May 8 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Look for continued cool conditions today with another
breezy to windy afternoon. Isolated showers along with a clap of
thunder is possible in eastern Nevada. Warmer conditions are
expected tomorrow with another round of isolated showers and
thunderstorms in the east tomorrow. Much warmer conditions are on
the horizon for Friday through the weekend with isolated showers
and thunderstorms in east-central Nevada.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday night. Scattered low clouds
can be seen moving across from north to south across the region
this morning. Some isolated light showers are also noted on
radar, though accumulations from remote observation platforms are
light. For today, all models are showing a weak shortwave trough
diving southward across northeastern Nevada. Light showers will
develop during the late morning and afternoon with limited
accumulations. Highs today will be in the 50s. Winds will be out
of the north and breezy with speeds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts to
35 mph. By tonight, showers will gradually diminish though some
clouds will stick around in eastern and east-central Nevada.
Overnight lows will be in the 20s and 30s.

The shortwave trough is expected to close off over southwestern
Utah for Thursday and Thursday night. Isolated showers will again
develop during the afternoon hours across eastern Nevada, with an
isolated thunderstorm possible in portions of White Pine county.
Winds will be breezy once again with northeast winds 15 to 25 mph
with gusts to 35 mph. Highs will be several degrees warmer than on
Wednesday with readings in the 50s and 60s. The showers will
diminish with skies scattering out during the overnight. Lows will
be in the 30s to near 40.

.LONG TERM...Friday through next Wednesday

Proximity to a mid-level low that will be situated over UT/AZ
border will facilitate some shower and thunderstorm activity
across mainly central Nevada Friday afternoon. Atmospheric
moisture content is not all that high so wetting rains are not
expected, especially given the northeast to southwest storm motion
expected on Friday in addition to a robust northeast surface wind
across the area. Low chances, 20% or less, of light afternoon
showers are expected Saturday as well. Temperatures will be on the
upswing through the weekend as the low pressure trough
transitions to the east and heights rise over the region. Better
opportunities for rain may return Monday as a weak trough moves
through the region although confidence is low. Overall pattern
suggests ridging across the northern tier of CONUS with troughing
over the southwest into central Plains, not exactly an ideal set
up for moisture transport into the region. Temperatures will be
rising though through the the weekend with widespread upper 70s to
lower 80s by early next week under a northerly to northwesterly
flow. Lows will only drop into the 40s and some lower 50s in some
lower valleys.

&&

.AVIATION...Generally fair weather and VFR conditions are
expected over the next 24 hours. Biggest concern will be northerly
breezes this afternoon with gusts 20 to 25KTS.

KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal
snow melt. Modest increases have been noted in faster responding
creeks and streams due to recent rainfall and snowfall. Increased
flows may additionally be noted on other streams and rivers over
the next several days. However, cool temperatures through the first
half of the week will continue to help mitigate high elevation
snow melt and subsequent runoff.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and
is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Comus resides in minor flood stage and is
forecast to remain in minor flood stage for the next few days
while gradually decreasing. The river is forecast to fall into
action stage mid week.

Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast
to remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City resides near action stage.
The river is forecast to continue to range in and out of action
stage for the next several days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

86/93/92