Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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590
FNUS75 KBOU 141338
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Shawnee Peak...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
738 AM MDT Sat Sep 14 2019

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure aloft will bring very warm and dry
conditions this weekend. Relative humidities will fall into the
teens during the afternoons. Overnight relative humidity
recoveries will be poor. West to northwest winds may gust as high
as 20 mph today. For Sunday, winds are expected to turn southerly
and be a little weaker.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........11%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000. 8500 ft AGL after
                    1500.
Transport winds.....West 20-25 mph until 1200, then 10-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
                    good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   1   1   2   2   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  45  50  55  60  62  64  64  64  63
RH..............27  28  23  20  17  15  13  13  13  14
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..13  12  12  12  11  11  11  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.8 3.2 4.7 5.9 7.2 8.5 8.2 8.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.25  25  25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   28  51  73  83  88  90  78  64
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   G   G

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........40%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
                    2100.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900. Poor after 2100.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  56  51  47  45  44  44  43  43  42  41  41
RH..............16  20  27  32  36  39  39  41  41  43  44  42
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  7   7   7   7   7   7   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.            8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...7.8 5.3 2.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100050  34  18  2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2
SmokeDispersion.F   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1200, then partly
                    cloudy(35-45%) until 1700, then mostly
                    cloudy(60-65%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........13%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-12 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900. 9300 ft AGL after
                    1200.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Good after 1500.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  13  16  18  22  29  32  36  44  48  52  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  44  47  51  55  60  63  65  65  64  64  62
RH..............43  38  34  28  23  19  17  16  16  17  18  20
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   8   8   12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 3.4 5.8 8.3 8.6 9.0 9.3 8.9 8.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10002   4   5   6   23  42  63  74  85  97  97  96
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   G   G

$$
Forecaster...MEIER
Requested by...Matt Snyder
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1914679.15/BOU
.DELDT 09/14/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL apeila@blm.gov



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