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FLUS44 KTSA 132200
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Late Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing Through Sunset.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances continue into tonight across much
of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as one area of low
pressure lifts out of the region and a second one approaches from
the southwest. Through sunset a limited severe potential for
locally strong wind gusts exists over mainly far southeast
Oklahoma before instability weakens with loss of daytime heating.

With the amount of moisture in place across the region and
expected light winds tonight, patchy areas fog could develop
overnight into early Monday morning. The greater potential is
across northeast Oklahoma into far northwest Arkansas. Conditions
should improve by mid morning Monday.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dense Fog Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances continue Monday with the second area of low
pressure lifting through eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Additional daily storm chances will continue through the week.
Severe weather is not anticipated to be widespread at this time,
but locally heavy rainfall will be a concern each day. Storms will
focus across the southeastern half of the area Tuesday before
expanding north Wednesday. A weak front will bring low chances for
storms closer to the Kansas and Missouri borders Thursday. Storm
chances will dwindle by the end of the week as ridging builds in
aloft. As this occurs temperatures will warm, with high heat
indices by next weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$