Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 241055

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
555 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018

An area of surface low pressure is currently located across
eastern Kansas early this morning, as scattered showers have
developed across central Missouri. The surface low and a cold
front will move east into the area. Scattered showers and maybe
an isolated storm or two will continue early this morning across
mainly central Missouri.

Gusty southerly winds will occur early this morning ahead of the
low, and then will swing to the west this morning then to the
northwest this afternoon remaining gusty as the low and front
move across the region. Winds will then weaken some this evening.

Highs today will occur this morning, with temperatures falling
into the 50s and maybe even upper 40s this afternoon behind the
front. The rain will move out of the area this morning, but cloudy
skies will persist most of the day. Some light drizzle may be
possible at times but overall mainly dry conditions will occur
this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018

An upper level disturbance will track across the region
Sunday/Sunday night and trigger some scattered showers and
perhaps a storm or two.

An upper level trough will move on the the west coast early next
week and dig to the southeast. An upper level southwest flow
pattern will setup and pull moisture into the area ahead of the
trough. Precipitable water values will increase across the region
as the deep moisture spreads in the southwest flow.

Waves of showers and a few storms will occur head of the low as it
lift into the region in the upper level southwest flow early next
week. The heaviest and more widespread rainfall will develop
Monday night into Tuesday night as a front slowly moves through
the region and interacts with lift from the upper level trough.
Locally heavy rainfall will be possible and the heaviest rainfall
is still generally expected and long and south of the I-44
corridor where two to four inches of rainfall from Sunday night
through mid week are still expected.

Additional scattered shower chances will occur through mid week
behind the front as the trough moves across the region.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 555 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018

An area of surface low pressure and a front are currently moving
across the region. Gusty south to southwesterly winds will occur
early this morning and will swing the west then northwest by this
afternoon, then become north to northeasterly this evening into
tonight. The winds will remain gusty into early this evening then
will decrease some by the overnight hours. MVFR ceilings may then
develop tonight.




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