Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 051122

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
522 AM CST Fri Mar 5 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CST Fri Mar 5 2021

The disturbance moving SW of the area today is struggling to bring
any rain to the surface in our forecast area given the dry airmass
in place. With increasing moisture, expect some isolated to
scattered showers to be possible through the day today mainly
along and west of Highway 65 and also along the Arkansas/Missouri
border. Overall anticipate amounts will be a tenth of an inch or
less. A back door cold front is moving east to west through the
area early this morning. The cooler airmass and cloud cover will
keep highs in the 50s today. Clouds will clear out tonight as
surface high pressure moves in, resulting in lows in the upper 20s
to low 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 303 AM CST Fri Mar 5 2021

Saturday through Tuesday will see a gradually warming
temperatures and dry conditions. Tuesday and Wednesday could see
breezy/gusty conditions.

Overall looking at a more active pattern starting in the middle of
next week. While details such as timing, moisture available, and
system track are uncertain, the pattern is supportive of
potential for thunderstorms, including potential for strong to
severe storms and flash flooding across portions of the central
U.S. Again, it is too early to predict associated hazards across
our area, so stay tuned to the forecast over the next few days.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 519 AM CST Fri Mar 5 2021

Light rain showers are expected today, with the greatest coverage
expected at KJLN and KBBG. Even so, dry air will limit coverage
and intensity. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected.




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