Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

FXUS63 KSGF 240433

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1133 PM CDT Sun Sep 23 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 123 PM CDT Sun Sep 23 2018

Cloud cover associated with the cold front and ongoing rain
across northern Arkansas will continue to linger and redevelop
across southern Missouri through this evening and overnight. This
will keep temperatures down today and tonight with patchy fog
expected by Monday morning.

The for overnight will be a combination of stratus build down and
radiation fog with the heaviest fog expected along area lakes,
streams and valleys.

Shower and isolated storm potential will continue across the
eastern Ozarks again tomorrow as the stalled front over Arkansas
moves very little. The continued cloud cover will help moderate
the temperatures despite southerly surface winds. Overall,
afternoon highs will be near normal for this time of year.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 123 PM CDT Sun Sep 23 2018

A cold front will approach the area ahead of a sprawling Canadian
airmass and bring the potential for strong to severe
thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. Modest CAPE in the 1000-1500 j/kg
range will be in place in advance of the front. This instability
will combine with modest shear and frontal forcing to bring the
potential for mainly damaging winds to the Ozarks Tuesday
afternoon and evening.

Showers and storms will push south of the area as the cold front
moves into Arkansas by the middle of Wednesday morning. A cool
Canadian high will then filter into the area and remain in place
through Thursday. This will bring afternoon highs in the upper 60s
to lower 70s with partly cloudy skies.

The next system for the end of the week and into the weekend
looks rather weak and unorganized based on current model
solutions. This may bring some light rain to potions of the
region but at this time most areas should remain dry.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sun Sep 23 2018

A low level stratus will remain over much of the area overnight
into the day on Monday. IFR to LIFR ceilings will occur across
southern Missouri overnight. Fog and drizzle will also occur
at times into early Monday morning. A few showers will be
possible across the area on Monday, but will be isolated in
nature. Ceilings will gradually improve into the MVFR range during
the day on Monday.




AVIATION...Wise is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.