Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
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801 FXUS65 KBOI 180518 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 1118 PM MDT Fri Apr 17 2026 .UPDATE...Updated aviation discussion. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Widespread subfreezing temperatures again tonight. - Drier and warmer through Tuesday. - Cooler and unsettled late Tuesday into Wednesday with valley rain and mountain snow. && .SHORT TERM /Through Sunday Night/... Issued 204 PM MDT FRI APR 17 2026 A ridge of high pressure will build into the area over the next several days with a warming trend each day through Monday. Temperatures will warm around 10 degrees on Saturday and an additional 10 degrees on Sunday. As the ridge strengthens, the surface winds shift to south-southeast aiding in the warming as well with breezy conditions during the afternoons through Monday. && .LONG TERM /Monday through Friday/... Issued 204 PM MDT FRI APR 17 2026 A closed low will reside along the West Coast early next week, pulling warm southerly air into SE Oregon and SW Idaho. This flow pattern will continue unseasonably warm temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal on Monday. Tuesday will continue to see temperatures 10- 15 degrees above normal, but with some confidence uncertainty in temperature maximums. Precipitation will begin to increase across E Oregon late Tuesday as the center of the low shifts inland and gets gradually swallowed by a longwave trough steering over British Columbia. This merging system will generate breezy surface winds and widespread precipitation over the area Wednesday and Thursday. Wednesday will see the highest likelihood of precipitation at 50-80% for the area. High mountain snow will accumulate as snow levels lower to 5000-7000 ft MSL. A cooling trend from this system will return temperatures back to near-seasonal normals Wednesday to Friday. By Friday, latest long-range guidance suggests a relatively dry shortwave trough breaking off from the merged low and digging into our area and the Great Basin. Overall precipitation is expected to taper off by late Friday, with mainly mountain areas seeing a 20-30% chance of showers from remnant moisture. && .AVIATION /06Z Saturday through Sunday/... Issued 1117 PM MDT FRI APR 17 2026 VFR under high clouds. Surface winds: variable less than 10 kt, becoming S-SE 5-15 kt after Sat/16Z. Gusts to 20 kt in the lower Snake Plain into KBKE. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: W-NW 5-15 kt, becoming SW after Sat/12Z. KBOI...VFR. Surface winds: SE 7-14 kt. Gusts to 20 kt early in the afternoon. Sunday Outlook...Continued dry with periods of high cloud cover. Surface winds S-SE 10-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, strongest in Snake Plain east of KBOI. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...Freeze Warning until 10 AM MDT Saturday for IDZ012-014-016. OR...Freeze Warning until 10 AM MDT /9 AM PDT/ Saturday for ORZ064. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise AVIATION.....ST SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....JY