Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 210913
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue over the
Midsouth today, in advance of an upper level low pressure system
dropping into the mid-Mississippi River valley. Temperatures will
average a few degrees below normal.

The upper low will lift into the Ohio Valley on Friday. Temperatures
will continue slightly below normal across the Midsouth, with best
rain chances to the south and east of the Memphis metro.

Temperatures will return to near normal over the weekend and early
next week. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible each day.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           40           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.22         0.08         0.02
Precip Dur (hrs)      3            2            1
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      87 (+1)      69 (-2)      85
RH % (24h Trend)      57 (-4)      90 (-8)      52
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9                    W 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 7-11      W 4-8        W 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1847                      1791
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   6061                      5877
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1933                      1877
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6343                      6159
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  9                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 20                      W 17
Vent Index (m2/s)     17397                     15016
Category Day          5                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80                        79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  7                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 16                      W 16
Dispersion Index      48           19           52
LAL                   4            3            3
LASI                  3            4            3
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph
becoming northeast late in the evening.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           40           30
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.32         0.15         0.09
Precip Dur (hrs)      3            2            1
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      87 (+2)      71 (-1)      88
RH % (24h Trend)      59 (-8)      94 (-2)      53
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9                    SW 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 7-11      SW 4-8       W 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1872                      1197
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   6142                      3928
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1934                      1259
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6346                      4131
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  8                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 18                      SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s)     15472                     10072
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  7                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 16                     SW 18
Dispersion Index      53           20           57
LAL                   4            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            E            B
Stagnation Index      2            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph
becoming southeast late in the evening.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph becoming north late in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-212315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           50           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.40         0.16         0.08
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            2            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      84 (-1)      68 (-3)      84
RH % (24h Trend)      66 (+2)      98 (+3)      58
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8                    SW 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 6-10      SW 3-7       W 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1362                      1588
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4468                      5210
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1483                      1711
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4865                      5613
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  8                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18                     SW 24
Vent Index (m2/s)     11864                     18821
Category Day          4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 18                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      45           12           68
LAL                   5            3            4
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Northwest winds around 5 mph late in the
afternoon becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-212315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           40           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.48         0.18         0.13
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            2            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      84 (0)       69 (-2)      85
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (0)       99 (+2)      58
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8                    SW 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9       SW 3-7       W 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1345                      1195
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4414                      3919
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1466                      1316
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4811                      4318
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  8                      SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 18                      SW 24
Vent Index (m2/s)     11728                     14476
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 19                     SW 23
Dispersion Index      48           15           69
LAL                   5            3            4
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      1            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph late in the
afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph late
in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           50           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.41         0.26         0.41
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            2            8
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      86 (+2)      70 (-3)      87
RH % (24h Trend)      66 (-7)      99 (0)       60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8                    SW 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 6-10      SW 4-8       SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1455                      694
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4773                      2276
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1527                      765
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5009                      2511
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  8                      SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 17                      SW 21
Vent Index (m2/s)     12216                     6885
Category Day          4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81                        79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 18                     SW 23
Dispersion Index      58           32           38
LAL                   5            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph becoming northwest late in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
413 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           50           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.59         0.28         0.33
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            2            8
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      85 (-3)      70 (-3)      86
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (+9)      100 (+5)     59
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 3-7                    SW 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8       SW 3-7       SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1212                      644
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3977                      2112
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1336                      767
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4383                      2518
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  9                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)     12024                     7670
Category Day          4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  7                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 17                     SW 25
Dispersion Index      54           21           47
LAL                   5            3            4
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph late
in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light and variable
winds becoming northeast around 5 mph late in the morning.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$



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