962
FXUS63 KPAH 020355
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1055 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Major severe weather outbreak anticipated Wednesday afternoon
  and evening into Wednesday night; tornadoes, large hail, and
  damaging winds are expected.

- High gradient winds may see gusts 40 to 50 mph Wednesday.

- Historically high forecast rainfall amounts of up to a foot
  will lead to significant and widespread flooding Wednesday
  through Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Updated aviation discussion for 06z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Cloud bases will lower through the night becoming MVFR by
09-12z. Can`t rule out some scattered showers or an isolated
storm overnight into the morning, but coverage looks fairly
limited. Right now anticipate cloud bases rising into low VFR
territory for a period tomorrow afternoon before conditions
deteriorate with a line of convection moving into the region
late afternoon and evening, primarily impacting the terminals
after 21z. Convection should primarily be limited to a 4 to
6 hour window at most terminals with vsby and cig restrictions
expected.

Southeast winds initially will veer to southerly by morning.
There is some concern for LLWS late this evening and overnight
as 2kft winds increase to around 50 kts. With time, mixing
should allow higher gusts of at least 20-25 kts down to the
surface by early morning. Mixing quickly increases tomorrow with
sustained winds of 15-25 kts and gusts of around 40 kts
expected through the day. It`s possible for some even higher
gusts as well.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Wind Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to midnight CDT Wednesday
     night for ILZ075>078-080>094.
     Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Sunday morning
     for ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...Wind Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to midnight CDT Wednesday
     night for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.
     Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Sunday morning
     for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.
IN...Wind Advisory from 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ Wednesday to midnight
     CDT /1 AM EDT/ Wednesday night for INZ081-082-085>088.
     Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Sunday morning
     for INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...Wind Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to midnight CDT Wednesday
     night for KYZ001>022.
     Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Sunday morning
     for KYZ001>022.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...SP