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000
FXUS63 KPAH 111135
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
535 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tranquil weather will prevail this week as temperatures warm
  from near to slightly above seasonal norms.

- The next opportunity for rain holds off until the weekend, but
  it`s so small that it`s not even included in the forecast at
  this time.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 535 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

Updated aviation discussion for 12Z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 235 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

A quiet weather pattern is forecast to prevail this week as high
pressure generally reigns supreme. Initially, temperatures will
remain rather chilly today with northwest flow still in place.
However, that flow pattern should flatten by Tuesday as surface
winds briefly turn southerly. This will allow for a moderation
in temperatures to slightly above normal Tuesday through the
remainder of the week.

As the week progresses, an upper level ridge will build into the
Mississippi Valley as an upper low digs into the Great Basin and
slowly migrates east into the southern Plains by week`s end. At
the same time, another low is forecast to move across the Upper
Midwest and into the Great Lakes and/or Ohio Valley over the
weekend. This split flow pattern makes for a lower confidence
forecast by the weekend. At this time, the forecast is largely
dry with rain projected to miss the area to the north and south.
However, this is subject to change as the week progresses and
models come into better alignment with time.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 535 AM CST Mon Dec 11 2023

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Scattered
mid/high level clouds will drift through this morning, followed
by mainly clear skies this afternoon and tonight. Light and
variable winds this morning will pick up from the south at 5 to
10 knots this afternoon and tonight.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...RJP
DISCUSSION...RJP
AVIATION...RJP