National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Fair

88°F

31°C

Humidity 57%
Wind Speed NE 5 mph
Barometer 30.08 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index94°F (34°C)
Last update 31 Aug 4:15 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WNW Fredericksburg VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 91 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 101. Light west wind.

    High: 96 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Calm wind.

    Low: 75 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 96. Calm wind.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.

    High: 98 °F

    Hot

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 74 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 101. Light west wind.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Calm wind.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 96. Calm wind.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers. Sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Labor Day
Sunny, with a high near 83.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WNW Fredericksburg VA
 38.32°N 77.55°W (Elev. 154 ft)
Last Update:
2:22 pm EDT Aug 31, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm EDT Aug 31, 2026-6pm EDT Sep 7, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation