Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 122331
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122331
WIZ000-MNZ000-130030-
Mesoscale Discussion 1243
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0631 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024
Areas affected...Portions of central and eastern Minnesota
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...
Valid 122331Z - 130030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
continues.
SUMMARY...A localized tornado threat is evolving over portions of
central/eastern Minnesota. The area is being considered for a small
tornado watch.
DISCUSSION...Following several splitting supercells along a surface
trough/wind shift over central/eastern MN, latest radar data shows
dominant right-moving thunderstorms taking shape. This evolution is
being aided by an increasingly large, clockwise-turning low-level
hodograph (around 300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per MPX VWP). Given this
hodograph and favorable low-level moisture in place downstream of
the intensifying storms, a localized tornado risk is possible for
the next couple hours. The area is being considered for a small
tornado watch.
..Weinman/Smith.. 06/12/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
LAT...LON 46649407 47079295 47049249 46719207 46149253 45439387
45389472 45499529 45859514 46649407