388
FXUS64 KBMX 070626
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
126 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 125 AM CDT FRI JUN 7 2024

The cold front this morning is current just across the northern
counties of Alabama but will begin to slide south through the
night and into Friday afternoon. In fact it should be along the
Gulf Coast by 3 to 4 PM. Winds will be brisk at times but
generally less than 15 mph. As we move through the afternoon, high
pressure build in and will be in place through Saturday. Highs
will be in the upper 80s to low 90s each day, with Saturday being
the warmer of the two.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Through next Wednesday)
Issued at 118 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2024

Forecast remains on track through early next week, with a frontal
boundary to our north Sunday and limited rain coverage in Central
Alabama Sunday and Sunday night. The front will stall, waiting for
another shortwave arriving from the west. There is some
uncertainty on timing of that shortwave, but expect an increase
in rain chances in the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe.

14

Previous long-term discussion:
(Through next Wednesday)
Issued at 322 AM CDT THU JUN 6 2024

A frontal boundary pushes southward into TN Valley and eventually
into Central AL Sunday night through Monday, which will lead to
increased rain/thunderstorm chances. However, with the drier air
mass in place ahead of the boundary, there are some questions on
the moisture return and therefore coverage of convective activity.
Tuesday into Wednesday appear to be dry for now with the frontal
boundary stalled to our south.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 125 AM CDT FRI JUN 7 2024

Overall VFR for the period with light winds through 15z then
increasing from the north to around 10 to 12 kts with the front
moving through. Patchy fog will be possible this morning as we
remain south of the front. Light winds will be in place after 3 to
4z.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Drier air filters in today behind a cold front, with rain free
conditions expected areawide through Saturday night. Minimum RH
values will range from 28 to 38 percent this afternoon and 30 to
40 percent Saturday afternoon. Overnight RH values will range
from 75 to 90 percent. 20ft winds will remain from the northwest
today, at 5 to 9 mph, before becoming light and variable on
Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     86  57  89  64 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    87  58  89  66 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  87  61  91  68 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  89  60  91  68 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      89  61  90  67 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      89  62  89  67 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  91  60  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        92  61  91  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...16