755
FXUS64 KAMA 070458
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1058 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1046 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

- Benign weather with warmer than normal temperatures expected
  from Monday through at least Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 1046 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Benign weather is anticipated for Sunday as the Panhandles will be
solidly behind a cold front. Weak winds, cooler than normal temps,
and a few clouds can be expected.

A shortwave trough will approach the Panhandles Monday morning from
the northwest and a surface low will develop on the lee side of the
Rockies. Southerly to southwesterly winds will be present across
much of the area except perhaps the northwestern combined
Panhandles. These winds could be borderline breezy in the southern
and eastern Panhandles, but regardless these winds contribute to
temperatures warming into the mid- to upper-50s.

Vanden Bosch

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1046 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Northwesterly flow aloft will be in place on Tuesday and through
much of the long-term period. Another trough embedded in the flow
aloft will move toward the Panhandles on Tuesday with a surface low
developing in the vicinity of NE New Mexico/SE Colorado. This will
likely cause the southwesterly surface winds to strengthen to 10-20
mph during the day. 850mb temperatures are projected to be between
the 75th and 90th percentile, which combined with downsloping
southwesterly winds, will cause temperatures to warm into the mid to
upper-60s. There is a 30-50% chance for highs to exceed 70 degrees
in the northwestern combined Panhandles and a 10-25% chance in the
southern and eastern combined Panhandles. A weak cold front is
forecast to move through Tuesday night as the previously mentioned
surface low moves off to the southeast.

A more potent trough will move into the Pacific Northwest on
Wednesday and progress east-southeastward through Wednesday night
and Thursday. Operational and ensemble member guidance is coming
into slightly better agreement compared to 12-24 hours ago regarding
a potentially stronger cold front moving in on Thursday with colder
air settling in for Friday and into the weekend.

Vanden Bosch


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1046 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

VFR conditions expected through at least the next 24 hours. Winds
will weaken through the night, then gradually weaken through the
day Sunday.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...52