Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
651 FXUS64 KAMA 111103 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 503 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1108 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 - The chance of impactful weather over the next 7 days is very low. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 1108 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 After highs in the 50s yesterday (near normal) the combined Panhandles are expected to see quite the warm up with temperatures reaching well into the 70s. A surface trough is progged to set up over parts of eastern NM into the combined Panhandles allowing for H85 temperatures to shoot up to 20 degrees C, warming temps well above normal to these temperatures. The pressure gradient is not anticipated to steepen very much with surface winds maxing out around 15 mph. A weak surface low is expected to develop to the northwestern combined Panhandles, SE CO, and NE NM later this afternoon. As this low progresses southeast and the surface trough pushes off to the east with it, another cold front will follow. This front is not expected to impact overnight temperatures very much tonight but should cause afternoon temps on Friday to maintain around normal in the mid 50s with upsloping northeasterly to easterly winds. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1108 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Mainly benign and dry weather continues into the extended period. Temperatures rebound again on Saturday, primarily in the southwestern half of the FA, with a nice warm up above normal with highs in the 60s. A backdoor cold front is expected a bit earlier now with more of the northeastern half being held back in the upper 50s. This time, the cold front is expected to impact overnight lows brining them down to near normal in the 20s overnight into Sunday morning. Despite winds returning to the south before Sunday afternoon, a portion of cooler H85 temperatures is expected to stay put across the combined Panhandles holding temperatures in the 40s, across the eastern Panhandles, and low to mid 50s in the western combined Panhandles. As the upper level pattern holds, with troughing to the east and ridging to the west, the Panhandles should maintain greater influence from the ridge as afternoon temperatures progged to return to the 60s Mon afternoon through Wed afternoon. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 502 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 VFR conditions expected through at least the next 24 hours. A cold front will move in from the north tonight but winds will remain at around 10 kts. && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...36 LONG TERM....36 AVIATION...52