674
FXUS64 KAMA 301726
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1126 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1055 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

-Very cold temperatures for today and tomorrow in the wake of
 Saturday`s cold front.

-Few light snow showers for the far NE Panhandles, flurries
 elsewhere, early on Monday.

-Another potential system is on the horizon that may a slight
 chance for snow, or rain/snow mix Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Looking at GOES water vapor imagery, another low pressure system
can be seen over the PacNW as of this writing. This system is set
to bring another mid to upper level open wave trough dipping into
the combined Panhandles late tonight into tomorrow morning. For
tonight, models continue with the dry trend as this open wave
trough comes down into the area. The only areas in the Panhandles
that have even a slight chance for measurable precip from this
system is eastern Beaver County and northern Lipscomb county,
mainly early tomorrow morning. Even if snow is measurable, it may
only be around 0.1" to maybe 0.2". Those areas with less than 10
Pops early tomorrow morning may still see this system squeeze out
a few flurries. However, mid to lower levels are expected to be
quite dry with mid to upper level moisture somewhat lacking.

With the cold airmass expected to remain in place, not to mention
the lack of sunshine with the cloud cover, afternoon highs well
below normal in the low to mid 30s are expected across much of the
area. Winds are progged to return to the south late this afternoon
around 10 mph. However, southerly winds are not expected to help
with any kind of warm up. Overnight, temperatures are expected to
drop back into the teens to lower 20s. By afternoon, another surface
low will trek across the NE FA bringing back north winds on the
backside as it does so. The southeast should see some slightly
positive H85 temperatures while the east hangs onto subzero H85
temperatures through the afternoon. There is some uncertainty with
how warm Monday afternoon may actually get. For now the NBM is
giving afternoon highs in the lower to mid 40s, with the exception
of the northeastern combined Panhandles.  However, H85 temperatures
may still stay quite cool around -2 degrees C for the eastern two
thirds of the combined Panhandles and not just the northeastern
corner.

Going into Monday night/Tuesday morning, temperatures are expected
to drop below 20 degrees once again. The NBM gives wide spread low
in the mid to upper teens. With the calm winds expected and clear
skies, would expect some localized spots to dip cooler towards
sunrise closer to their NBM10 forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Temperatures are progged to finally rebound to near
normal Tuesday and Tuesday night, with afternoon temperatures in the
mid 50s. A cold front is progged to change that for Wed with
temperatures expected to fall below normal once again. Wed`s temps
may be around 6 to 8 degrees below normal, but Thu afternoon`s
temperatures may be around 10 to 12 degrees below normal. Model`s
are in decent disagreement Wed onward with how the system bringing
the cold front will play out. For now, this system may bring some
prospects for some wintry precipitation. The NBM has given a
slight chance PoP for a good portion of the combined Panhandles
Wed night into Thu. However, with this being day 5 still, a lot
can change. Even the GFS is suggesting precip across portion of
the northwest and not the southern combined Panhandles. Depending
on how this system progresses, temperature have a potential to
return to normal for Fri and Sat.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1119 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the 18Z TAF period at all TAF
sites. Winds will be out of the south to start, then shifting to
westerly and northwesterly after 07-09Z through the end of the TAF
period with speeds of 5-15 kts.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...36
LONG TERM....36
AVIATION...29