Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
322 FXUS64 KAMA 100516 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1116 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 - Below Freezing temperatures are expected for the Monday morning commute with a Freeze Warning in place for the Southeastern Panhandles. - Above average temperatures and at times breezy conditions are forecasted this new week. - A slight pattern change next weekend may lead to cooler conditions and low chances for precipitation. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 Latest observations from the present mesonet stations has seen winds go quite tonight, which has seen temperature quickly dropping across the Panhandles. As it stands locations across the Oklahoma Panhandles are already in the mid 20s before midnight with temperatures only expected to get colder. In response to this rapid drop off, the forecast has been adjust for much colder lows for Monday morning with new expectations seeing teens to mid 20s by the time the sun rises. Meanwhile, a Freeze Warning is still present for the Southeastern Panhandles as the growing season is still on going for this area. Beyond this cold morning, conditions look to stay dry as a ridge continues to build over the Panhandles and most of the Southwestern Untied States. By Tuesday, look for much warmer temperature to move in with afternoon highs back near the 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 Model agreement continues to trend towards a dry weather pattern holding over the Panhandles as the expected ridge remains present. However, this ridge does look to slowly deteriorate over the course of the week. While this deterioration wont bring in any moisture, it will turn our upper-level flow more zonal and allow for warmer temperature to push back in. Expect temperatures to warm back into the 70s by the mid-week with chances at some low 80s in some of our warmer locations. As for next weekend, model agreement has seen some hints at a change to this dry pattern with a new system moving in. However, confidence at this time is only sitting around 10 to 20%. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1110 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025 Winds have signficantly calm for the overnight period with all terminals staying around 5 kt or less. Below freezing temperatures are expected at all terminals through the morning hours of Monday, but will be quick to warm by the afternoon. Otherwise, look for VFR conditions to persist for the next 24 hours. && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for TXZ014-015-019-020. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...11 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...11