Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
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320 FXUS64 KAMA 022325 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 525 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025 - Dry conditions and above average temperatures are expected each day over the next week. && .UPDATE... Issued at 525 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 Another nice evening is expected for the region with above average temperatures and light winds through tomorrow morning. A cold front will start to enter across the north before sunrise so lows across that area may drop down into the mid 30s whereas further south should only drop into the lower 40s. Only change was to slightly lower temperatures across the north for tonight for the most likely areas to get behind the front before sunrise. Muscha && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1123 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 High pressure continues to build east over the Four Corners toward the Southern High Plains. As a result warmer temperatures are expected today, with the warmest ares in the northwest, that may even top out in the low 80s, while most other areas are mid to upper 70s. The far east that is a bit more displaced from the warmer air may only get to the low 70s. Now we do expect a weak cold front to clip the Panhandles tomorrow and that will provide a bit of a temperature gradient with highs in the north only reaching mid 60s, versus the south being in the mid to upper 70s. No precipitation expected in the short term. Weber && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1123 AM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 As we move into Tuesday, that weak cold front from Monday will be off to the east and a very warm southwest flow will be dominating the southern and central US. As a result we may have record breaking highs on Tuesday at all Climate sites. Right now it`s close for Dalhart and Amarillo, with low to mid 80s in the forecast, but Borger is currently forecast to get to 84 which is 2 degrees above the record. On Wednesday we expect another weak front to clip the area, and all it will do is lower the temperatures into the mid to upper 70s across the south with the lower 70s in the north. So even with this cold front we`re still looking at high 5 to 10 degrees above normal on Wednesday. Thursday we see another push of warm air that bumps up temps a few degree from Wednesday. And then we head into a cooling trend Friday and Saturday with highs getting closer to normal, but still looking to be slightly above normal. Weber && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025 VFR conditions are highly likely over the next 24 hours. Winds will slowly rotate clockwise during this TAF cycle as a weak cold front shifts winds briefly out of the north. Winds behind the front could be upwards of 15-20 kts with occasional higher gusts. Winds should become easterly to southeasterly towards the end of this TAF issuance. Clear skies should continue to prevail. Muscha && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...89 LONG TERM....89 AVIATION...05