967
FXUS61 KBGM 040648
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
148 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A brief return to dry weather is expected for today. Another
system will bring rain to the area Wednesday afternoon through
Wednesday night, before drier and cooler weather returns on
Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

Current northwest gusty winds will continue on this morning,
which will result in some lingering lake effect rain showers
mainly along the NY Thruway corridor. Otherwise, the rest of
the area is expected to be dry under partly to mostly sunny
skies. With the tight pressure gradient continuing, it will
remain breezy with occasional gusts of 25-35 mph possible at
times. Highs are expected to be in the mid 50s. Surface high
pressure builds briefly heading into the evening, where gusty
winds are expected to decrease with dry conditions.

High pressure conditions are short-lived with the next shortwave
moving into the area Wednesday. As it progresses west-to-east
across the area, the upper-level trough deepens and tightens the
pressure gradient. This will result in gusty westerly winds
Wednesday afternoon and through the overnight hours, with rain
showers as well. Snow may mix in with the rain showers overnight
Wednesday, mainly for higher elevation areas of Central NY, as
temperatures dip into the low to mid 30s Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

Brief high pressure with dry conditions expected for Thursday,
with highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

The next system comes through Friday, and with temperatures
around to slightly above average, this system will likely be
only rain.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

The long term pattern continues to look rather active with a
parade of systems embedded with a deep longwave trough. These
will move through the area over the weekend and into early next
week. The timing of these systems under this synoptic pattern
can be tricky, and will be monitored through this upcoming week.

This pattern will also usher in a much colder airmass by the
beginning of next week, which means that it isn`t entirely out
of the realm of possibilities to see some snow, at least during
the overnight periods.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
With cool dry air moving in tonight, VFR conditions are expected
over the next 24 hours at all terminals. RME may see some lake
effect rain showers early this morning that could cause brief
MVFR vis or cigs but confidence is low so it was omitted. Winds
will slowly decrease through the day becoming light after sunset
at most terminals.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night through Wednesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday night...Rain showers becoming likely and associated
restrictions, especially at the Central NY terminals.

Thursday...Some lingering restrictions possible at the Central
NY terminals; otherwise becoming mainly VFR.

Friday...Mainly VFR. Some rain showers and associated
restrictions are possible late in the day and at night.

Saturday...Showers tapering off with improving conditions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KL
NEAR TERM...KL
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...AJG