


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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724 FXUS63 KDDC 141035 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 535 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered rain showers continue this morning as a warm front lifts north across SW KS - Decreasing clouds and warmer this afternoon - Windy and warmer Wednesday and Thursday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 238 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Scattered showers will continue through the this morning with the best chance north of Dodge City as the warm front continues its trek northward. The warm sector will return to SW KS in the afternoon, with decreasing clouds, increasing south winds, and warmer temperatures rebounding into the 70s. A few places across south central Kansas could reach around 80 degrees. Midlevel flow remains amplified tomorrow, with SW KS sandwiched between a high pressure ridge over Texas, and a closed low over the Four Corners Region. Lee cyclogenesis will result, bringing strong south winds averaging 20-30 mph with gusts to near 40 mph in the afternoon. The atmosphere will continue to warm, with lower 80s Wednesday. No sensible weather changes Thursday, continued strong south winds and unseasonably warm as the Great Basin cyclone ejects into the northern Rockies. Some showers and thunderstorms associated with the ejecting trough may clip the northwest zones Thursday evening as NBM pops suggest, but clearly most locations will remain dry. A couple of weak, mainly dry cold fronts will trim temperatures closer to normal Friday into the weekend, but models continue to trend weaker with the expected cold advection. The coolest day will likely be Saturday, as the longwave trough passes over the plains, with north winds keeping temperatures in the 60s. This system is forecast to be far too progressive to produce any precipitation in SW KS, and the NBM pops are dry, with another quick warming trend following Sunday and especially Monday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 534 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Low clouds and reduced visibilities will continue to bring IFR to LIFR conditions to western Kansas overnight. The DDC terminal will experience visibilities down to a quarter of a mile. Visibilities will improve after sunrise with continued low clouds. Cloudiness should decrease in the afternoon. Winds will be from an easterly direction overnight, shifting to the south with an increase in speed late morning into the afternoon. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for KSZ065-066- 078>081-087>090. && $$ DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42 AVIATION...Hovorka_42