377
FXUS63 KDDC 271711
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1111 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures today and Friday.

- Colder air arrives this weekend with minimal light snow
  chances (20-40%) across central Kansas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

WV imagery indicates a northwest flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains. Near the surface, high pressure extends from
the Dakotas south-southeast into the Central Plains.

Dry/quiet conditions are likely early in the period as the SREF
indicates a prevailing northwest flow aloft today giving way to a
more zonal flow Friday as weak ridging across the Intermountain West
breaks down ahead of an upper level shortwave trough digging southeast
through the Pacific Northwest. This and much drier air dominating
the lower/mid levels across the Western High Plains is expected to
keep precip chances out of western Kansas through Friday night. Fairly
seasonal temperatures are forecast today as surface high pressure
stretching from the Dakotas southeastward into the Central Plains
continues to reinforce a cooler air mass across the high plains of
western Kansas, holding H85 temperatures to around 0C in central
Kansas to near 5C in extreme southwest Kansas. With the HREF showing
a better than 90% probability of temperatures exceeding 45F in central
Kansas to a 70 to 90% probability of temperatures topping 50F across
much of southwest Kansas, look for afternoon highs mainly up into
the 50s(F) with only the mid/upper 40s(F) up near the I-70 corridor.
A slight warming trend is likely into Friday as departing surface
high pressure and lee side troughing developing in eastern Colorado
sets up low level southerlies throughout western Kansas. This will
further pull warmer air into the area with H85 temperatures up around
5C in central Kansas to near 10C near the Colorado line. Under ample
sunshine, expect more widespread highs in the 50s(F) with near 60F
in extreme southwest Kansas. Much colder temperatures arrive this
weekend, along with very minimal snow chances (20-40%), with a strong
cold front pushing through western Kansas early Saturday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1108 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

An intensifying low in eastern Colorado will lead to increasing
winds and with moisture advection we should see cloud cover
across southwest Kansas after 12Z Friday. Winds will increase to
20-30 kts and ceilings will fall to around 6 kft with 20%
chance of MVFR flight category close to 18Z for DDC and HYS.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Tatro