094
FXUS63 KDDC 040942
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
342 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather is forecast for the next week.

- Warmer weather is on the way for Friday and Saturday with
  highs in the 50s.

- A weak cold front will yield a brief cooldown for Sunday
  before warm air pushes back into western Kansas early next
  week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 310 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Cold high pressure will slowly shift off to the east today, with
south winds returning. Any morning cloudiness is forecast to
clear out by late morning into early afternoon, allowing
temperatures to reach into the upper 30s to near 40. With
subsiding winds this evening and mostly clear skies, expect
temperatures to cool into the high teens and lower 20s by early
Friday morning.

The upper level pattern is expected to change by Friday to
northwest flow with embedded upper level disturbances, along
with mean upper level troughing over the Great Lakes. This is a
very dry pattern for western Kansas, with any mid level moisture
drying out as it descends the Rockies. Temperatures will warm
into the upper 40s to 50s for Friday and Saturday given sunshine
and the lack of arctic air. An upper level disturbance will
pass across the plains Saturday night, helping to push a cold
front through Kansas. This will result in highs falling back
into the upper 30s and 40s for Sunday. Downslope warming will
allow highs to warm back into the 50s for Monday and 50s/60s for
Tuesday. The ensemble means of the GEPS and ENS have no
precipitation over the next week and measurable precipitation
probabilities are close to 0%; and this makes sense given the
lack of any significant upper level trough development over the
southwestern United States.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1158 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Surface high pressure will move into the central plains tonight
and then progress off to the east Thursday. Moist northeast
winds will continue to result in patchy MVFR/IFR CIGS early in
the period; but improvement is forecast as the low levels dry
out overnight, upslope flow weakens and winds become light.
Winds will switch to the south at 10 kts Thursday as a surface
trough begins to form in the lee of the Rockies.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Finch