523
FXUS62 KFFC 081133
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
633 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 629 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

 - Isolated thunderstorms will be possible again this afternoon
   across portions of north and central Georgia and again on
   Sunday across portions of central Georgia. Severe weather is
   not expected.

 - Freeze Watch is in effect for early Monday morning for portions
   of western and northern Georgia.

 - A hard freeze is expected Monday night into Tuesday morning
   across most all of north and central Georgia as very cold air
   overspreads the area.

 - Flurries are possible in the north Georgia mountains overnight
   Sunday into early Monday morning. No impacts expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 355 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Front is pushing into north Georgia this morning slowly but surely
but already showing signs of stalling as it because increasingly
disconnected from the attendant surface low over the Northeast.
Plenty of moisture has pooled all along it, bringing showers, low
cloud cover, and a few rumbles of thunder this morning across mainly
northern Georgia and the Atlanta metro. These should fade shortly
after sunrise as the forcing pushing the front continues to weaken
and WAA begins to slow, leaving a stalled front somewhere near the I-
20 corridor or possibly further north.

Stalled front will be focus of potential redevelopment later today.
Broad troughing remains over the area despite stronger shortwave
clearing to the northeast. Another potent wave is progged to dive
into the midwest through the day today which will keep a broadly
supported upper level environment in place. Development of a broad
surface low will drive additional moisture advection from the Gulf
that will be pushed up against and over our stalled front. Some
afternoon shower and storm development will be possible across north
and central Georgia, with the primary focus being along the stalled
frontal boundary. One additional bit of uncertainty may be with
afternoon temps, which are likely dependent on whether or not cloud
cover is able to clear enough to allow heating, especially near
where the front stalls. Temperatures could be a few degrees too high
if cloud cover remains.

Rain showers will continue into Saturday night ahead of a very
strong cold front that will be pushing towards the CWA. Front should
sweep into the area on Sunday, bringing with it an Arctic airmass
that will see a pretty sharp gradient of temps from NW to SE across
the state. Highs in the 50s in the NW will be juxtaposed with 80s in
SE central Georgia. This front will provide for some afternoon
thunderstorm potential across SE central Georgia where moist airmass
resides.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 355 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

Between Sunday Night and Monday Night a midlevel trough will deepen
as a closed low dives south and swings across the Great Lakes and
Ohio Valley Regions. The coldest air of the season will be filtering
into the region making for a chilly start to the long term period.
While winds are likely to remain elevated during this time current
thinking is CAA will be strong. Thus, temperatures are forecast to
fall quickly Sunday Night into Monday morning. Low temperatures will
range from the mid/upper 20s across North GA (5-10 degrees colder at
the higher elevations in the NE GA mountains) to mid/upper 30s in
areas along and south of Columbus to Macon. With this in mind, a
Freeze Watch has been issued for North GA roughly along and north of
the I-85 corridor for Sunday Night and early Monday morning. Latest
NBM probabilities back this up with a 45-50% chance of temperatures
falling below 32F as far south as the I-85 corridor. If temperatures
continue to trend colder, the watch may be expanded further south
and east. Wrap around moisture combined with these colder
temperatures may lead to flurries across portions of the North GA
mountains. Light accumulation is possible but looks to be confined
to the highest peaks.

Monday is likely to be the coldest day of the week as the forecast
area will be situated at the base of a deepening midlevel trough and
high pressure will be nudging into the region from the west.
Forecast highs will be in the 30s and 40s. Widespread freezing
conditions are still on tap for all of North and Central GA Monday
night and early Tuesday morning. Overnight lows are forecast to be
in the 20s (5-10 degrees colder in the mountains) with `feels like`
temperatures in the teens to low 20s. Make sure the kiddos are
bundled up for the bus stop! This weekend is the time to make
preparations for the incoming cold -- Remember the 4 P`s: Pets,
Pipes, Plants and People.

The closed low and midlevel trough will lift northeast on Tuesday
bringing a return to NW flow. At this time, the remainder of the
week looks quite as surface high pressure settles across the
Southeast. Another shortwave looks to swing across the Great Lakes
Region around mid-week pushing a dry front through the region.
Otherwise, tranquil weather and warming temperatures are forecast
for North and Central GA Tuesday through Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

IFR to MVFR cigs impacting most sites this morning. At metro TAF
sites, expect some variation between IFR and MVFR for next few
hours, though more commonly IFR than MVFR. Slow improvement
expected into the afternoon. Some uncertainty on if cigs are able
to scatter. Rain showers will again be possible this evening into
the overnight hours. Winds will remain on the west side through
period. Some chance of lower cigs tomorrow morning ahead of
approaching front. Winds tomorrow will be strong at 10-15 kts,
with gusts at or above 20 kts with frontal passage.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium cigs. High all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  59  70  34 /  30  30  10   0
Atlanta         74  59  67  32 /  30  30  10   0
Blairsville     69  50  59  24 /  10  20  10  20
Cartersville    74  56  64  29 /  20  20  10   0
Columbus        79  59  74  35 /  20  20  10   0
Gainesville     74  59  67  32 /  20  20  10  10
Macon           79  59  76  37 /  20  20  20   0
Rome            76  56  64  32 /  20  20  10   0
Peachtree City  75  59  69  31 /  30  30  10   0
Vidalia         82  62  81  40 /  20  10  30   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late Sunday night through Monday morning for
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>023-030>034-041>046-052>057-066>068.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Lusk