455
FXUS65 KFGZ 250943
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
245 AM MST Tue Nov 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Warmer and dry conditions return for today and will
last through the week. There is potential for a storm system to
impact the area over the holiday weekend, stay tuned.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Through Friday, expect daytime temperatures ranging
from 5 to 10 degrees above normal, with light winds. Thanksgiving
Day will be a beautiful day in Arizona.

The ridge causing this pleasant weather breaks down late over the
holiday weekend and into early next week. This pattern shift could
cause travel issues, or it could just be a cooler pattern, as storms
slide to our east. Most model solutions area chaotic at best and
teleconnections do not paint a very clear pictures. The pattern may
end up being dry, northwesterly flow, that can be indicative of La
Nina. Or, the eastern Pacific ridge could retrograde and open the
door for precipitation. Something to be aware of, keep checking the
forecast for your travel plans.

&&

.AVIATION...Tuesday 25/06Z through Wednesday 26/06Z...Mostly VFR
except for a low chance (<30%) of MVFR/IFR in low CIGs and BR/FG
08Z-16Z over some valley locations including KINW/KPRC and around
KGCN. Light winds less than 10 kts overnight except locally
breezy NE winds downwind of the higher terrain. N-NE winds 5-10
kts most areas Tuesday from late morning through the afternoon.

OUTLOOK...Wednesday 26/06Z through Friday 28/06Z...VFR expected.
Light and variable winds for Wednesday and Thursday, except
locally breezy NE winds downwind of the higher terrain during the
overnight periods.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Tuesday and Wednesday...A warming and drying trend
will continue each day, along with light and variable winds. Expect
daytime highs 2-8 degrees above normal and minimum RH values between
25-45%.

Thursday through Saturday...Above normal daytime highs will stick
around through Friday, before much cooler weather returns for this
weekend. Light winds and dry conditions also expected through the
end of the week, with southwest winds 5-15 mph forecast on Saturday
ahead of a potential storm system. Rain and snow showers could begin
Saturday night, but there`s high uncertainty with this next pattern
change.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...Konieczny

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff