958
FXUS65 KFGZ 271117
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
417 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and seasonably warm weather will persist through
Saturday. By Sunday, expect increasing winds and noticeably colder
temperatures, with chances for rain and snow showers by Sunday night
and into early Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Fairly tranquil, late fall weather through Saturday.
Temperatures will remain several degrees above normal, with only
light winds and passing high clouds.

By late Sunday, several models are now in agreement that a s/wv will
move down the eastern side of an amplifying eastPac ridge. This s/wv
will track over the Four Corners region later Sunday night, exiting
quickly Monday. This is not a terribly dynamic or wet scenario and
we do not expect a very impactful situation. However, confidence is
increasing for a cool down, increased winds for Sunday afternoon and
Monday, along with chances of rain and high elevation snow showers.

If you are traveling late Sunday/Monday, especially over portions of
eastern Arizona, check up on your forecast as we draw closer.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 27/12Z through Friday 28/12Z...VFR conditions
forecast through the period. Light and variable winds expected for
most locations, but overnight breezy NE winds (10-20 kts) possible
downwind of higher terrain.

OUTLOOK...Friday 28/12Z through Sunday 30/12Z...VFR conditions
expected through the end of outlook period. Look for W-SW winds
5-15 kts Friday, becoming variable at 5-10 mph on Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Thursday and Friday...Daytime highs will land 2-10
degrees above normal each afternoon, along with minimum RH values
generally between 20-40%. Light and variable winds forecast for
today outside of breezy NE winds downwind of terrain early this
morning. West-southwest winds 5-15 mph expected on Friday.

Saturday through Monday...Temperatures gradually cool each day, with
a chance for rain/high elevation snow Sunday night through Monday
morning. Otherwise, dry conditions will persist. Look for light and
variable winds Saturday, southwest through northwest winds 5-15 mph
Sunday, and northerly winds 5-15 mph on Monday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Konieczny
FIRE WEATHER...Konieczny

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff