583
FXUS65 KFGZ 261915
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1215 PM MST Wed Nov 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Mild temperatures and dry conditions are expected
through the end of the week. Cooler temperatures and breezier
conditions then set in at the start of next week, along with a
slight chance for rain and snow showers.

&&

.DISCUSSION...High pressure building over Arizona will keep mild
and dry conditions in store over the next few days. While winds
look to be primarily light through the period, gusty northeast
winds are expected downwind of the terrain. The main areas that
will see elevated winds tonight will be areas south of the Mogollon
Rim and south of the Bradshaw Mountains, where gusts upwards of
20-25 mph will be possible.

Over the weekend, the ridge begins to flatten and zonal flow sets in
briefly. A trough looks to drop through the Rockies, brining much
colder air and breezier winds. Given the track of the low, moisture
is fairly limited, and thus precipitation amounts continue to trend
downward. Much of the EPS, CMCE, and GEFS members favor only light
precipitation amounts, mainly focused in the late Sunday/Monday time
frame. As such, confidence has increased in a less impactful system
that originally anticipated.

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 26/18Z through Thursday 27/18Z...VFR
conditions with light and VRB winds. Locally gusty NE winds 15-25
kts downwind of terrain features overnight from 03Z to 15Z.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 27/18Z through Saturday 29/18Z...VFR conditions
with light and VRB winds on Thursday, becoming S/SW 5-10 kts on
Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Thursday and Friday...Dry and mild conditions. Winds
light and variable on Thursday, becoming south/southwest 5 to 10 mph
on Friday. Minimum afternoon RH values 25% to 35%.

Saturday through Monday...Turning colder, with dry conditions
outside of a slight chance for rain and snow showers late Sunday and
Monday. Winds south/southwest 5 to 10 mph on Saturday, increasing to
10 to 20 mph on Sunday. Winds becoming north/northeast 5 to 10 mph
on Monday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Humphreys
AVIATION...Humphreys
FIRE WEATHER...Humphreys

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff