Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
262 FXUS64 KFWD 050551 AAA AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Clouds and cool weather continue today. Areas of fog are possible Friday night. - Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday, with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Satellite imagery shows a steady stream of high clouds across Texas tonight with thicker low clouds beneath. This tap into Pacific moisture is thanks to strong southwest flow aloft ahead of an elongated trough axis. At the surface, a weak southerly flow is trying to become established late tonight. As it does, winds above the surface will become more southwesterly allowing the lower cloud cover to erode a bit. While forcing for ascent is only modest at best, areas of light precipitation are ongoing across parts of Central and South Texas. The bulk of any light rain will remain out of our area but we can`t rule out a few sprinkles or very light rain across our Central TX counties through morning. The rest of the day Friday should feature mostly cloudy skies with temperatures ranging from the lower 50s across our east to the lower 60s in the west where clouds will thin through the day. Later Friday night, an influx of lower 40s dewpoints will spread north of I-20 into relatively cooler air thanks to strengthening southerly flow. This moisture surge will likely lead to the rapid development of low clouds and fog, particularly north of I-20 and across our eastern counties. As a trailing shortwave swings through the Southern Plains, drier air will work into North Texas from the west early Saturday and should start to erode some of this cloud cover, however, there may be a substantial temperature gradient from west to east depending on how long the clouds linger. Highs may range from the mid 50s in the east to the lower 70s out west. Dunn && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 After Saturday, the weather pattern looks to remain fairly benign for this time of year with surface high pressure in place across the eastern CONUS through Tuesday and mid level ridging building across the Southwest U.S. This should keep the Southern Plains beneath dry northwest flow aloft with little chance for precipitation and steadily warming temperatures through the middle of the week. Dunn && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025 Widespread MVFR cigs will persist for another few hours before drier air gradually works into the region from the west. We`ll see the lower clouds scatter out through the early morning hours, however, thick high cloud cover should persist for much of the day thanks to strong southwest flow aloft tapping into Pacific moisture. Late tonight (Fri night), areas of fog and low clouds are likely to develop across the region and persist into Saturday morning. This may impact the D10 airspace for several hours before drier air eventually erodes the fog through mid morning. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 47 34 53 40 / 40 0 0 0 Waco 49 36 52 41 / 40 0 10 0 Paris 44 33 50 35 / 40 0 0 0 Denton 44 32 54 34 / 40 0 0 0 McKinney 45 34 52 36 / 40 0 0 0 Dallas 48 36 54 41 / 40 0 0 0 Terrell 46 33 52 39 / 40 0 0 0 Corsicana 46 36 53 43 / 50 0 10 10 Temple 48 37 52 41 / 30 0 20 0 Mineral Wells 44 30 60 36 / 20 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$