Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
612 FXUS64 KFWD 111033 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 533 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - An elevated grass fire threat will be present for areas near and west of I-35 tomorrow. - Warm and rain-free weather will continue into next week with temperatures 5 to 15 degrees above normal. && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1249 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025/ /Through Sunday Night/ High pressure continues to be in control across North and Central Texas with little change in the pattern this weekend. Subsidence aloft will keep clear to mostly clear skies with afternoon temperatures reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to around 60 with the exception of the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex, where mid 60s are expected. Sunday will feature an elevated threat for fire starts given relative humidity values in the lower 20% range with southerly winds near 15 mph. The main area of concern will be west of I-35 where fuels and weather will come together for this heightened threat. Relative humidities will begin to recover once the sun sets, returning the probability of fire starts to the low category for Sunday night. Hernandez && .LONG TERM... /Issued 1249 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025/ /Monday Onward/ As we begin a new work week, little change in the weather pattern will yield a rinse and repeat forecast through the next 10 days. High temperatures will continue to climb into the mid 80s to lower 90s with overnight temperatures in the 50s to lower 60s. Models are now starting to hint at a pattern shift beyond day 10 as a potential trough enters our region. Although there is low confidence in exact temperatures or precipitation chances, the potential for cooler temperatures and a return of precipitation chances is surely welcomed after what will likely be nearly a month without precipitation. Hernandez && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /12z TAFs/ Another tranquil 30+ hours are ahead for North and Central Texas with light winds out of the southeast. A few high clouds are currently across West Texas, slowly moving to the east. These will likely move overhead later today, however, no impacts to airports are expected. Aside from the filtered sunshine, no other major weather impacts are expected. Hernandez && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 89 66 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 88 61 89 63 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 87 61 88 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 89 61 90 64 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 89 62 91 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 90 67 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 89 61 90 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 90 64 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 89 60 90 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 92 60 93 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$