Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
161 FXUS64 KFWD 102335 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 535 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Above-normal temperatures will return Thursday and Friday. - A strong cold front will bring colder temperatures on Sunday with highs in the upper 40s and 50s. - Rain chances will tick upward toward the middle of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1124 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Our forecasted cold front has now surged into Central Texas with gusty north winds up to 30 mph at times prevailing behind FROPA. Better cold-air advection will reside over the Southeast CONUS, but still expect temperatures to only top out in the low to mid 60s later this afternoon. Surface ridging will settle over the region later this evening with winds diminishing to calm-5 mph after 6PM. Light winds, clear skies and a dry airmass will allow for a night of efficient radiational cooling with temperatures expected to drop into the low to mid 30s by early Thursday morning. A few of our rural, low-lying locations may briefly dip below freezing around sunrise Thursday. Light south-southwest winds will return to North and Central Texas after midnight tonight increasing to 10-15 mph after sunrise Thursday morning. Afternoon highs should climb into the upper 60s to low 70s west of I-35 Thursday afternoon with low to mid 60s expected elsewhere. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1124 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 A series of cold fronts will push through the Southern Plains later this week and into the weekend. The first front (weaker) will arrive early Friday, with little to no rain chances and negligible temperature changes. The second, stronger frontal passage is expected to arrive late Saturday-early Sunday knocking high temperatures Sunday into early next week back into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Low rain chances are in the forecast across East Texas in the deeper PWAT airmass during this timeframe. More widespread precipitation may return to the region in the Tuesday- Wednesday timeframe of next week as deterministic and ensemble guidance highlights increasing moisture return ahead of our next Southern Plains shortwave trough. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 518 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the period at all North and Central Texas terminals. A post-frontal surface ridge is currently centered over the region with light and at times variable winds in place. Winds will become southerly before sunrise, increasing to around 10-12 kt by mid to late morning with occasional gusts possible by the afternoon. No significant aviation concerns are expected through Thursday evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 38 65 46 67 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 37 65 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 33 60 42 63 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 31 65 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 34 63 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 39 65 47 68 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 34 63 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 37 65 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 34 66 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 34 70 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Langfeld LONG TERM....Langfeld AVIATION...12