Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
860 FXUS64 KFWD 101146 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 546 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A dry cold front will move through the region on Wednesday bringing gusty north winds. Above normal temperatures will return for Thursday and Friday. - A strong cold front will bring much colder temperatures on Sunday with highs in the upper 40s and 50s. - Rain chances will tick upward early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Breezy southerly winds will persist through the overnight hours thanks to an area of low pressure over West Texas. A strong shortwave trough will swing through the Upper Midwest through Wednesday afternoon and allow this surface low to move eastward dragging a cold front through the region during the morning hours. This front will come through dry, but winds will shift around to the north and become breezy through the afternoon. Intermittent high cloud cover will also persist through the day before thinning out this evening. While north winds will be breezy, the bulk of the colder air will remain over the eastern half of the CONUS keeping temperatures near or slightly above normal this afternoon. Highs should top out in the low to mid 60s. Diminishing winds will be short lived but sufficient for temperatures to fall back into the low 30s by early Thursday morning. Southerly flow returns Thursday morning and we should see highs climb into the low 70s west of I-35 under mostly sunny skies. Dunn && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1119 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 A progressive upper pattern will persist through the weekend and into early next week sending a couple more cold fronts southward through the Plains. The first will arrive on Friday and should again result in mainly a wind shift and slightly cooler air north of I-20. Highs Friday afternoon may top out in the mid 70s across our southern counties. Low level moisture will begin to encroach on the area above the shallow colder air by Saturday resulting in increasingly cloudy skies headed into Saturday night. A much stronger cold front will spill southward during this time and move through the area early Sunday. Highs on Sunday will likely struggle to make it out of the upper 40s and low 50s with brisk north winds making it feel much colder. An upstream disturbance will spread out of the southwest U.S. late Sunday and should help reinforce modest isentropic ascent through Monday. This should result in continued cool and cloudy conditions and perhaps some areas of light rain developing. At this time, we`ll keep PoPs <20% as there is some uncertainty in timing and strength of this system, but the pattern does look like it will become slightly more active across the Southern Plains through the middle of next week with rain chances ticking upward through the period. Dunn && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 519 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 A cold front is moving through North Texas this morning with winds gradually becoming more northerly. We`ll start winds off northwest for a few hours then becoming northerly 15G25KT by 15Z. Strong winds above the surface may result in some LLWS until deeper mixing occurs later this morning so we`ll maintain this through 15Z as well. Otherwise, VFR will prevail under intermittent high cloud cover. Winds will diminish this evening then become more southerly toward Thursday morning. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 63 39 65 46 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 64 36 65 47 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 60 34 60 42 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 62 35 65 41 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 63 36 63 43 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 63 39 65 47 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 63 35 64 44 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 65 38 66 48 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 67 36 67 45 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 65 35 70 42 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$