Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
586 FXUS64 KFWD 091128 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 528 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Mild temperatures will prevail with a slight warming trend by the end of the week. - The next strong cold front is expected to arrive over the upcoming weekend which will send temperatures back below normal. && .UPDATE... Issued at 526 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 Only change with this morning`s update was to mention patchy fog that has crept into a couple of counties out across the east. This should remain confined to these same localized areas the next few hours. Paris has dropped to 32 degrees early this morning where there is fog ongoing, but expect this to be brief with little to no impacts. Visibilities in this area have improved slightly, in addition to a band of high clouds moving overhead which should inhibit further radiational cooling. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 It`ll be warmer today across the region with highs in the low to mid 60s across East TX and mid/upper 60s elsewhere. An embedded clipper system will trek through the Northern Plains Tuesday with lee troughing prevailing to the south. Slightly breezier winds will take place this afternoon as a result of the tightened pressure gradient, with occasional gusts around 20 mph. As this system quickly shunts east, a cold front will be sent southward into North Texas Wednesday morning and through the southernmost portions of Central Texas by early/mid afternoon. The cold front will shift winds to the N/NW, but will mostly be unimpactful to the region. Highs will top out in the low to mid 60s for most locations, with the exception of the far southern areas climbing into the upper 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Light winds and clear skies Wednesday night will allow for temperatures to drop into the mid/upper 30s behind the front, a handful of degrees cooler than the previous night. W/NW flow will prevail aloft Thursday with winds making a quick return back to the south. Slightly warmer conditions will end the week, with highs 10 to 15 degrees above seasonal norms by Friday. More considerable temperature uncertainty then exists this upcoming weekend, with the latest ensemble runs favoring a weaker (or nonexistent) front Friday. These trends the last few runs would result in the postponement of any significant cold air until Sunday, with forecast highs currently in the 40s and 50s. Weak isentropic lift may result in light rain as a weak shortwave moves through, but have kept the NBM`s PoPs of 10% or less given the uncertainty in this weekend`s system. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 526 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025 VFR prevails with light winds this morning increasing to 10 to 15 kts this afternoon, then decreasing in speed to around 8 to 11 kts this evening. A cold front will bring a northerly wind shift Wednesday morning ~14Z to DFW, and outside of the current TAF period for KACT. Otherwise, a few high clouds will move overhead through tomorrow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 65 45 64 40 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 64 44 66 39 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 59 42 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 64 40 63 35 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 63 42 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 64 45 65 40 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 63 42 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 66 45 67 40 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 67 42 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 69 42 67 36 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Gordon LONG TERM....Gordon AVIATION...Gordon