Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
430 FXUS61 KILN 101318 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 918 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. This will lead to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Weak return flow will develop across the region today as surface high pressure shifts east into the northeastern US. With a dry airmass in place, expect mostly sunny skies again today. Temperatures will be a tad warmer with afternoon highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... A mid level low pressure will drop slowly southeast across the Great Lakes tonight into Saturday while an associated weak surface low weakens as it moves into northern Ohio. With a lack of deeper moisture, the main effect with this system will likely just be an increase in some clouds later tonight and into the day on Saturday. Lows tonight will generally be in the 40s with highs on Saturday again in the upper 60s to lower 70s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... The closed low will be moving off toward northeast Ohio at the start of the extended and will be in the process of being absorbed by a broader area of low pressure off of the Atlantic coastline. Closer to the surface, a weak cold front will be pulled through the region, though sensible impacts will be minor and any isolated showers will taper off by the overnight. Overnight lows fall to the mid 40s. Meanwhile, to our northwest, a robust area of low pressure will be moving through southern Canada, allowing for continued warm air advection. Temperatures on Sunday rise to the low/mid 70s but we`ll feel more warmth on Monday/Tuesday, when we reach the upper 70s while Tds reach the mid 50s again. The cold front associated with this system will be dragged across the Ohio Valley sometime on Tuesday into Wednesday, though moisture is quite limited and we likely won`t see any precipitation with its passage. Behind this feature, strong continental high pressure pushes in from Canada and temperatures look to moderate back closer to seasonal norms in the upper 60s. Overall, the warmer and dry pattern looks to continue for the Extended period. && .AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... High level clouds will increase through the day as surface high pressure shifts off to our east. A weak upper level disturbance will drop down across the Great Lakes tonight into Saturday. This will lead to an increase in mainly mid level clouds later tonight. Outside of some early morning river valley fog, VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...