050
FXUS62 KJAX 112313
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
613 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Freeze Warnings & Frost Advisories Tonight. Freeze Warning: All
  Inland Locations with Widespread Frost Forecast. Frost
  Advisories: Portions of Coastal Northeast FL

- Elevated Fire Danger Wednesday

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 609 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

No changes to ongoing forecast package or current headlines. With
the record dry airmass in place and clear skies have tweaked down
Min Temps a few more degrees to account for this and expect lows
in the mid/upper 20s inland and in the 30s closer to the Atlantic
Coast. Some pockets of hard freeze can be expected over inland
areas by sunrise Wednesday morning, mainly across inland NE FL
along the I-10 and I-75 corridors.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

High pressure will build overhead through Tonight. Skies will remain
clear. With the building high, winds will decrease this afternoon,
and become largely calm Tonight. With the cold airmass in place,
the calm winds and clear skies will result in another chilly
night. Below freezing temperatures are forecast for inland areas,
and with winds becoming calm frost will be widespread. For areas
east of the St Johns River, lows will likely not reach Freezing,
but still cold enough for Frost.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

A warming trend ensues with continued dry weather as surface high
pressure centers across north FL Wednesday then shifts across the
NE Gulf into Thursday as a back door `cool` front approaches from
the north into Thursday evening. Wednesday, winds will be much
weaker compared to recent days with sunny skies prevailing under
near zonal flow as max temperatures warm some 10-15 degrees higher
than today with highs in the mid/upper 60s. Another cool night Wed
night with inland lows in the upper 30s to low 40s to mid/upper
40s coast (leaned toward the cooler side of NBM guidance given
continued cool, dry airmass and weak surface winds). Thursday,
some pre-frontal clouds but still dry with temperatures warming
into the low 70s ahead of the front. The front presses south of
the local area Thu night trailed by NNE winds as high pressure
builds north of the region. Despite a frontal passage, elevated
NNE winds will keep coastal locations more mild with lows near 50
by daybreak Fri morning with inland lows in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Dry weather prevails with freezes/frost not expected as high
pressure across the southeast seaboard Friday shifts across south
Florida later into the weekend with surface fronts remaining north
of the local area. Lingering dry low level air will continue
chilly inland lows in the 40s/50s coast with warming daytime highs
in the 70s to low 80s by early next week. Expect increasing fog
potential into the weekend as shallow low level moisture advection
develops each day with the sea breezes.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR with SKC through the period. Light West Winds at 6-9 knots
from 15Z Wed through the end of the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1219 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

High pressure will be overhead Tonight into Wednesday. A weak cold
front will pass by to the north Wednesday afternoon through
Wednesday night. High pressure will build overhead from the west
Thursday. High pressure will then prevail through Saturday. The high
will build more toward the south Sunday as a cold front passes to
the north.

Rip Currents: SE GA Low through Wednesday
              NE FL Moderate Today, Low Wednesday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  28  67  40  73 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  39  66  47  71 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  30  68  41  74 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  36  68  45  72 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  29  68  40  76 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  31  68  39  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Wednesday for
     FLZ021-023-024-030-031-035-120-124-132-136-137-140-220-225-
     232-236-237-240-322-340-422-425-522.

     Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ038-125-
     138-233-325-333-433-533-633.

GA...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Wednesday for
     GAZ132>136-149-151>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364.

AM...None.
&&

$$