Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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643
FXUS62 KKEY 190236
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1036 PM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 953 PM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025

Robust surface ridging stretches across the Florida Peninsula this
evening, resulting in gentle to moderate easterly breezes across
the Keys. Winds have tended slightly stronger across the Florida
Straits. This evenings sounding indicated precipitable water quite
high at 2.27 inches and above the 90th percentile. However, CAPE
below 700 mb is quite limited with some very low level inhibition.
Consequently, shower activity has been limited and thunderstorms
have been very limited.

Ridging will remain dominant through the overnight period. This
will maintain gentle to moderate easterly breezes across the Keys.
Rain chances will also be slight as incoming drier lower levels
will likely offset the usual nocturnally enhanced confluence.
Expect overnight lows to be in the lower to mid 80s with dew
points likely slipping into the mid 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 953 PM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025

Robust ridging will remain across the Florida Peninsula through
the night. This will result in moderate to fresh easterly breezes
on Keys waters overnight and should begin diminishing late. A
caution remains in effect for the Florida Straits until winds
decrease.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 953 PM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight.
Surface winds will be gentle to moderate out of the east.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...11
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....JAM

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