Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
167 FXUS64 KLCH 151816 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1216 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - A light freeze is forecast early Tuesday across inland areas - Low end rain chances possible Wed as a disturbance moves into the ArkLaTex. The system strengthens and moves through with showers and t-storms possible Thu. - A cool front will move through late Thursday bringing cool temps by Friday. Warmth and humidity quickly return Saturday and beyond. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 High pressure stretches from deep south Texas to the central Appalachians this afternoon. Locally, under this dome of high pressure winds are light and VRB and skies are clear. Temperatures around the region were below freezing all the way to the coast with readings in the mid 20s across Cen LA and the East Texas Lakes Region. This evening and overnight the ridge will shift east with winds becoming east to SE by sunrise Tuesday. Temperature will fall back to or below freezing at most inland locations, however as the ridge shifts away, moderation of the airmass will occur. In other words, it won`t be as cold tonight. Dewpoints will be higher, and winds will be lighter, so frost will be much more widespread. The return flow will be in full force Tuesday through mid week as the ridge departs and another cold front drops into the plains. The south flow will drag in moisture with temps and dewpoint ramping up into the 50s by Wednesday. Dewpts may even reach in the 60s for a period late Wednesday into early Thu. With the WAA ahead of the cold front, showers will be possible Wednesday/Wed night. Forcing looks limited, however a thunderstorm or two may be possible. While not mentioned in the forecast, sea fog may become an issue with water temps running in the mid 50s to around 60 at the coast, but the duration may be limited due to the incoming cold front. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Sunday) Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 Late Wed or Thursday the cold front will push through the area will a very modest cool down for late week. Temperatures will quickly warm back up during the weekend with highs well above normal. Dewpoints will climb into the mid 60s setting the stage for multiple foggy mornings, especially over the coastal lakes and bays. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 VFR with light winds. && .MARINE... Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 High pressure will move east of the region Tuesday and an onshore flow will resume. The next disturbance starts taking shape on Wednesday. Southeast winds will increase Thursday before another cool front with strong offshore flow moves into Gulf waters on Friday. Higher dewpoints are anticipated this weekend with sea fog becoming possible for multiple days. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Dec 15 2025 High pressure moves east of the region Tuesday allowing moisture to improve on developing southerly flow. Minimum RH values will range from 40 to 55 percent Tuesday and 60 to 70 percent Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 27 56 41 66 / 0 0 20 30 LCH 32 60 49 68 / 0 0 10 30 LFT 31 60 48 69 / 0 0 0 20 BPT 36 62 52 69 / 0 0 20 30 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...05