Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
903 FXUS65 KLKN 162001 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1201 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1201 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025 * Periods of rain in most of the valleys of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon through Tuesday night * Light snow on passes and summits along Highway 50 Monday night through Tuesday night * Cooling trend Monday through Thursday && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Saturday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will move northeastward across the Silver State this afternoon into this evening, before entering the Mountain West tonight. A cyclone aloft will move southward down the coast of California Monday through Tuesday. This upper-level area of low pressure will progress eastward across Southern Nevada Tuesday night. Periods of precipitation are expected in the majority of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon through at least Tuesday night. The majority of precipitation Monday through Tuesday night will be confined to Central Nevada. Snow levels will start at around 7,000 feet this afternoon, before dropping to about 6,000 feet Monday night. Light snow is expected over passes and summits along Highway 50 Monday night through Tuesday night. Here are probabilities of rain amounts of one tenth of an inch or more for select locations in Northern and Central Nevada from 4 PM PST Sunday, November 16th, 2025 until 4 AM PST Wednesday, November 19th, 2025: Tonopah - 77% Winnemucca - 74% Austin - 70% Eureka - 68% Owyhee - 67% Ely - 64% Battle Mountain - 64% Carlin - 62% Wells - 47% Elko - 45% A trough of low pressure will move eastward through the Eastern Pacific Ocean Wednesday. This trough of low pressure will make landfall over the west coast of the United States Wednesday night. The trough of low pressure will weaken as it progresses through the Silver State Thursday. This trough of low pressure may be responsible for light precipitation in parts of the service area. A cooling trend is expected Monday through Thursday. By Thursday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada will be around five degrees below normal for this time of year. A ridge of high pressure will build eastward across the Silver State Friday and Saturday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding periods of rain in most of the valleys of Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon through Tuesday night. Moderate forecast confidence in light snow on passes and summits along Highway 50 Monday night through Tuesday night. Moderate forecast confidence regarding a cooling trend Monday through Thursday. && .AVIATION... MVFR conditions are likely in and near showers this afternoon and tonight. VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals Monday morning into Monday afternoon. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 87