865
FXUS64 KLZK 022341
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
541 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

 - Dry and cool conditions expected Tuesday.

 - Brief warmup for Wednesday, otherwise below normal temperatures
   to persist through much of the next 7 days.

 - Another round of precipitation possible Thu-Fri, some winter
   weather possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

The H500 trough continues to progress east of the area with precip
exiting to the east of the state as well. Lingering cloud cover
will limit additional cooling through the rest of the overnight
hours. Some slick roadways will be possible in the wake of
Monday`s light winter weather event.

Sfc ridging in place across the state Tuesday will shift east of
the area on Wednesday which will provide southerly winds and a
brief increase in temperatures. Temperatures will be warmest
across the western half of the state. The flow aloft will largely
be zonal across the southern US with a weak system in place across
the SW US and a strong cyclone north of the Great Lakes.

A cold front will move across the state Wednesday night into
Thursday morning. This will provide colder temperatures for
Thursday across the state. As the weak H500 SW US disturbance
tracks across the state and a corresponding sfc low tracks along
the Gulf coast, precip will develop. Better chances for precip
will remain south of the state, but with the cold air in place
locally, some winter weather is possible across Arkansas.

Dry conditions and below normal temperatures are expected for the
upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

MVFR cigs this evening are due to the low stratus currently over
central and southern Arkansas. Latest short term guidance
continues to struggle with the low stratus deck with the latest
satellite imagery showing the low stratus deck slowly but
gradually eroding over parts of central Arkansas. All short term
guidance builds a lower stratus deck back over central and
southern terminals that persist into Wednesday morning, which is
reasonable given the light low level flow and ridging currently
over eastern Arkansas. Expect low status to persist through the
morning hours leading to widespread MVFR ceilings at all terminals
minus KBPK & KHRO. Ceilings will gradually lift to VFR in the mid
to late Wednesday morning time frame at all other terminals and
persist through the period. Winds will remain light and
predominately out of the S/SE.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     41  25  48  28 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         44  25  52  36 /   0   0   0  40
Harrison AR       42  26  50  25 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    45  26  50  33 /   0   0   0  10
Little Rock   AR  42  27  49  33 /   0   0   0  10
Monticello AR     42  28  52  38 /   0   0   0  50
Mount Ida AR      47  26  52  33 /   0   0   0  10
Mountain Home AR  40  25  49  25 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        41  25  45  30 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     41  26  50  34 /   0   0   0  30
Russellville AR   45  27  52  33 /   0   0   0  10
Searcy AR         40  23  48  30 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      40  26  47  34 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Discussion...67
AVIATION...Kelly