890
FXUS62 KMLB 131702
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1202 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 105 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

- Dry conditions are forecast across east central Florida as an
  area of high pressure remains situated across the area.

- Temperatures slowly warm over the next few days, with highs
  reaching near-normal values late this week into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 105 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Today-Tonight...A surface high remains in place over the Florida
peninsula, with yet another dry day forecast locally. Wind become
predominantly northerly across the area, sticking around 10 mph
through today. Temperatures begin a gradual warming trend, with
highs forecast to reach the mid 70s across the area today.
Overnight, temperatures are still forecast to remain 5 to 10
degrees below normal, falling into the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Friday-Wednesday...A weak front moves across the Florida
peninsula and local Atlantic waters on Friday with little fanfare,
helping to further reinforce the area of high pressure situated
across the area. Dry conditions are forecast through this weekend
and into early next week, with no mentionable rain chances
highlighted in the forecast. The Euro continues to hint at a
frontal passage early next week, but the GFS has continued to
favor a drier solution with the high remaining in place over the
area. Will continue to monitor and see which way the global models
trend, as this could lead to a slight increase in rain chances
next week if models trend towards the Euro. Winds slowly veer
through the period from out of the east- northeast on Friday to
out of the southeast to southwest over the weekend, becoming a bit
more variable into next week. Wind speeds are forecast to remain
generally below 15 mph. Temperatures are forecast to continue on a
gradual warming trend, with highs in the mid to upper 70s on
Friday warming into the upper 70s to low 80s this weekend and into
the middle of next week. Lows are forecast to generally remain in
the 50s to low 60s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 105 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

High pressure remains situated across the area through next week,
being reinforced on Friday as a weak front moves across the area.
This will keep rain out of the forecast over the next several
days and help maintain generally favorable boating conditions
across the local Atlantic waters. Northerly winds slowly veer to
out of the east-northeast on Friday, southeast on Saturday, and
west- southwest into Sunday and Monday. Wind speeds are forecast
to remain below 15 knots through the period. As a result, seas are
forecast to maintain wave heights of 2 to 4 feet, with the
greatest wave heights focused across the offshore waters.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR conditions through the TAF period. Light northerly winds will
veer northeasterly later this afternoon as the east coast sea
breeze forms and pushes partly inland. Winds will then become
light and variable once again overnight. Guidance is showing
patchy fog being possible mainly along and north of the I-4
corridor late tonight an into Friday morning. However, confidence
is not high this will occur. So have introduced lower CIGs
(SCT010) at LEE, MCO, SFB around 08Z to show this potential. Winds
will then become northerly and increase to 5-10 KT by mid morning
Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  52  75  55  78 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  53  77  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  56  77  60  78 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  56  77  60  79 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  52  76  53  79 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  52  77  55  79 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  54  77  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  55  77  59  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Tollefsen
AVIATION...Watson