962
FXUS64 KOUN 181729
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1229 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 216 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Gusty southerly winds will continue through most of the day as
the surface pressure gradient increases. A few locations across
northwestern Oklahoma may see gusts around 40 mph, but most
locations across the area will see gusts around 30-35 mph. Cloud
cover will gradually diminish through the afternoon, helping high
temperatures get to the upper 80s to low 90s. Thunderstorms across
southwestern Kansas may attempt to move into northwest Oklahoma
during the late portions of the afternoon. There is a low chance
that these storms are severe as they move into the area. Damaging
wind gusts is the main hazard.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 216 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Storm chances will continue into the overnight hours across
portions of western and northern Oklahoma, but any storm will be
decreasing in intensity the further into Oklahoma it goes. Surface
winds will relax late Tuesday night into Wednesday. High
temperatures during the middle of the week will stay in the upper
80s to low 90s, before a warming trend into the weekend. Mid-level
ridging will slowly move eastward over our area over the weekend
and into next week. With the rise in high temperatures during the
latter parts of the period, heat advisory criteria may be met.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Primarily VFR cigs with cu/stratcu and strong southerly winds most
terminals through this afternoon. Cigs are expected to rise slowly
through the afternoon and become scattered. TSRA will likely commence
near cold front across western Kansas into the OK/TX Panhandles
toward evening and spread into far northwest Oklahoma. TSRA will
be confined to KWWR this evening through tomorrow morning with
PROB30 at KPNC around daybreak. Elevated SHRA west of SPS/LAW
early this afternoon should continue to dissipate or hold steady
as it drifts slowly eastward.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  88  72  89  70 /  10   0  10  10
Hobart OK         90  71  89  69 /  30  10  10  20
Wichita Falls TX  90  72  89  70 /  20   0  10  20
Gage OK           92  69  89  65 /  20  20  40  20
Ponca City OK     90  72  91  69 /  10  10  20  10
Durant OK         90  71  87  72 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>007-009>012-
     014>018-021>024-034-035.

TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...11