388
FXUS64 KOUN 092349
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
549 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 546 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

 - Above-average temperatures through Friday; turning cooler by
   this weekend.

 - No chance for precipitation through at least Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

An unusually warm and pleasant day of weather is beginning across
Oklahoma and north Texas. With a southwesterly surface wind,
mostly clear skies and modest downsloped warming, temperatures
this afternoon will climb into the low-70s across far western
Oklahoma and western-north Texas. While slightly "cooler",
temperatures across central and eastern Oklahoma will still run
10-15 degrees above normal (low-60s) for early December.

A weak surface front remains poised to advance southeastward
across the forecast area this evening into early Wednesday, as a
90kt+ jet core dives across the Northern Plains. It still appears
as though the main sensible impact with the front will be a wind
shift (southwest-to-north/northeasterly direction) into Wednesday
morning.

Ungar

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

While cooler than today, temperatures during the day on Wednesday
still look to run several degrees above average (low-60s south to
mid-50s north) across the area. Greater influence from an upstream
ridge will be noted with time, as a deep upper system accelerates
towards the Eastern Seaboard by Thursday. Similar to Tuesday,
breezy southwest winds are expected during the afternoon and
evening amidst a locally notable pressure gradient. Combined with
at least filtered insolation and weak downsloping, another warm
December day is currently anticipated.

Ungar

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Monday)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

NW flow is expected to continue through the weekend with another
cold front moving across the area Friday. Cooler temperatures are
expected Saturday with highs in the mid 40s in north central OK to
around 60 in western north TX. Models show a secondary cold front
moving across the area over the weekend bringing a re-enforcing shot
of cool air which will lead to even cooler temperatures Sunday with
highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. These colder temperatures currently
look short lived with highs returning to the 50s maybe low 60s early
next week.

Despite several cold front passages, the forecast continues to be
dry into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions will continue with only high clouds expected.
Light south to south-southwest winds are expected this evening,
ahead of an approaching cold front/northerly wind shift.

The cold front will approach northwest Oklahoma by late evening
and move through all the terminals by early tomorrow morning.
Gusty northerly winds and low-level wind shear are expected behind
the cold front. Winds will weaken toward the end of the TAF
period.

Mahale

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  42  57  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         38  60  34  65 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  42  62  36  67 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           38  56  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     40  55  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         43  62  36  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...10