874
FXUS64 KOUN 041058
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
458 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 453 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

 - Cold air arrives tonight with drizzle and cooling
   temperatures through daybreak.

 - A mix of snow and sleet is expected across western and central
   Oklahoma from tomorrow morning to tomorrow afternoon, with
   brief accumulation and travel impacts possible.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

In the wake of the reinforcing cold front, colder air continues
to filter south across the area overnight. Meanwhile, an upper
shortwave across the four corners area will shift east and
gradually shear out as it moves into the southern Plains toward
morning. This shearing out of the wave will reduce large scale
assent. However, models have been depicting frontogenesis
occurring around 700MB that gradually shifts south across Oklahoma
overnight into Thursday morning. This will likely result in the
development of a couple frontogenetical bands of precip. We are
already seeing one of those across the central and northern
Panhandles into northwest Oklahoma and another is expected to set
up from west Texas into southwest and central Oklahoma later
tonight and continue into the middle of the day Thursday. These
will likely result in some accumulations of snow and sleet in
these areas. There is a Winter Weather Advisory for much of
western into central Oklahoma through 3 PM Thursday afternoon for
the possibility of 1 to 2 inches of accumulations of snow and
sleet before the precip ends Thursday afternoon.

Ground temperatures remain rather mild, in the mid/upper 40s and
lower 50s, so most roadways are expected to remain wet, with
potential for some light accumulations during brief periods of
heavier snowfall. Otherwise, most accumulations that do occur will
be confined to grassy surfaces as well as elevated surfaces such
as bridges and overpasses.

Temperatures will struggle to warm Thursday, but temperatures are
expected to climb above freezing across most of the area by
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday night through Friday night)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Southerly winds return on Friday. That, combined with sunny
skies, will allow temperatures to warm into the 50s.

Dry and seasonable conditions will continue on Saturday, albeit
with a bit more cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Next week is likely mainly dry. A front on Sunday will bring a
brief cooldown followed by a warming trend back to seasonable
temperatures and possibly above.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 453 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Restrictions to ceilings and visibilities will continue through
the morning. These will improve to VFR by the afternoon. A band of
rain/snow will continue along the I-44/I-40 corridors this
morning, reducing visibilities. Wintry precipitation will clear
the area by the afternoon. Northerly winds will weaken and shift
to the south by the end of the period. There is a very low chance
for fog Friday morning, but overall confidence in location/impacts
are low at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  35  25  49  30 /  50   0   0   0
Hobart OK         37  24  52  26 /  50   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  40  28  58  32 /  30   0   0   0
Gage OK           37  22  50  24 /  30   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     36  22  49  27 /  10   0   0   0
Durant OK         41  30  53  35 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for OKZ009-
     010-014>017-021>036-038.

TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...13