262
FXUS64 KSJT 250707
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
107 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  A cold front will bring cooler temperatures for Wednesday and
   Thanksgiving, with highs in the 50s and 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 1235 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

After an active morning that included heavy rain and thunderstorms,
we will see a much less active pattern through this afternoon. As
of Noon CST, we are seeing skies clear from west to east on
satellite imagery. Highs will warm into the middle to lower 70s
this afternoon as we see the sunshine return across the area.
Overnight lows will be in the lower to middle 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 106 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Temperatures behind the front Wednesday afternoon will be around 10
to 15 degrees cooler than Tuesday. A surface high will build in
behind the front, causing decent radiational cooling conditions
Thursday morning. This will lead to a chilly start to Thanksgiving
with morning lows in the 30s. Thanksgiving afternoon will be mostly
sunny with highs in the 60s.

Rain chances return this weekend as another upper level trough sets
up over the southwestern United States. Moisture will increase
throughout the column ahead of the trough and we could see a few
disturbances move through the upper southwest flow. We`ll see low
rain chances (<30%) late Friday through the weekend as the trough
sits off to our west. The evolution of this upper trough/low varies
between models. Some have it approaching our area from the west
early next week, giving us decent rain chances, others push it
further south, giving us lower rain chances.

Another source of forecast uncertainty is the passage of a strong
cold front late this week or early next week. The European has a
strong front moving through late Saturday, bringing a much colder
airmass. The GFS doesn`t bring the front through until Monday. This
discrepancy in timing has led to a roughly 30 degree temperature
difference between models for Sunday`s highs. Our current forecast
is somewhere in the middle, leaning more towards the warmer
solutions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1013 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Winds will
remain under 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  39  59  38 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73  40  59  35 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    77  40  63  35 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73  39  59  34 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  72  40  58  40 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       74  42  62  38 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       72  40  58  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...42