Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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671
FXUS62 KJAX 010213
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1013 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

.UPDATE...T.S. Hermine continues to churn in the southeast Gulf of
Mexico with latest , while locally broad sfc troughing extends
over parts of SE GA from west to east. This trough is predicted to
lift northward overnight and this is where we have seen fairly
persistent shower and embedded isolated storms with periods of
heavy rain. Other stratiform rain will impact the south and
southwest zones overnight per radar trends. Lows tonight will be
in the mid 70s mainly with some upper 70s along the coast with
light southwest winds continuing overnight.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR and IFR cigs forecast tonight after 04z/05z with
showers and storms more likely in the near term for SSI. High
chances of showers for Thursday with prevailing MVFR CIG/VSBY.
Steady south-southwest winds expected through Thu evening around
10 kt or less.

&&

.MARINE...moderate southwest winds tonight expected with seas
around 2-4 feet nearshore and up to 5-7 feet offshore. Current
forecast for tonight on track with some slight changes to winds
and weather.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  86  74  83 /  50  70  90  90
SSI  75  86  76  86 /  90  60  70  80
JAX  75  87  76  85 /  50  70  60  70
SGJ  76  85  76  87 /  60  70  50  60
GNV  75  84  75  84 /  70  80  80  70
OCF  74  85  75  84 /  70  80  80  60

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT Thursday through Friday evening
     for Baker-Columbia-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Suwannee-Union.

     Tropical Storm Watch for Alachua-Baker-Bradford-Clay-Coastal
     Duval-Coastal Nassau-Columbia-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland
     Duval-Inland Nassau-Marion-Putnam-St. Johns-Suwannee-Union.

     Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT Thursday through Friday evening for
     Alachua-Bradford-Clay-Coastal Duval-Coastal Nassau-Inland
     Duval-Inland Nassau-Marion-Putnam-St. Johns.

GA...Flash Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT Thursday through Friday evening
     for Appling-Atkinson-Bacon-Brantley-Charlton-Clinch-Coffee-
     Echols-Jeff Davis-Pierce-Ware-Wayne.

     Tropical Storm Watch for Appling-Atkinson-Bacon-Brantley-
     Charlton-Clinch-Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Coffee-Echols-
     Inland Camden-Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Pierce-Ware-Wayne.

     Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT Thursday through Friday evening for
     Coastal Camden-Coastal Glynn-Inland Camden-Inland Glynn.

AM...Tropical Storm Watch for Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to
     Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine
     FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
     Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Shashy/Wolf/Walker



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