Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 221419
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
919 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

...Near Record High Max Temps Possible In Inland Areas Today...

.UPDATE...

Latest morning satellite imagery and surface observations reveal
fog and limited visibility remain across portions of northeast
Florida, primarily in the Lake City and Live Oak areas, and
southeast Georgia, west of I-95. Expecting this to continue until
roughly 10 AM. Also noticing scattered marine stratocumulus moving
onshore near the beaches. Outside of these specific observations,
expecting a fairly similar day as yesterday, with partly cloudy
skies and above average temperatures. Easterly to southeasterly
flow will keep coastal regions cooler by 5-10 degrees when
compared to inland areas. Temps will top out in the mid to upper
70s along the coast while inland areas will see low to mid 80s.
With warm, moist flow again tonight, low stratus and fog
development is likely. Similar to today, inland areas will have
the greatest potential of seeing scattered dense fog. With the
next trough axis moving in tonight, spotty showers are possible,
20-30% chance as things stand right now, for coastal counties
across northeast Florida during the overnight and early tomorrow
morning.


&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibility due to low stratus and fog are
breaking up for GNV. Some marine stratocumulus has recently moved
in to some coastal TAF sites, resulting in brief MVFR conditions.
Otherwise, expecting primarily VFR conditions during the
afternoon hours. Once again, LIFR/IFR ceilings and visibility
issues arise overnight with the development of low stratus and
fog. This will be reflected in the next TAF package.

&&

.MARINE...
SE winds at 10-15 knots with seas primarily 3-5 feet near shore
will continue today and tonight. Small craft exercise caution in
place for off shore waters with seas 4-6 feet through tonight. Still
a chance for limited visibility across the cooler waters of
southeast Georgia.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk in the onshore flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  86  62  81  61 /   0   0  20  10
SSI  75  60  74  61 /   0   0  20  10
JAX  82  64  79  62 /   0  10  20  10
SGJ  78  66  77  63 /   0  20  20  10
GNV  84  65  81  62 /   0   0  30  10
OCF  86  64  83  63 /   0   0  30  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

McGinnis/Sandrik



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