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000
FXUS64 KLZK 171933
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
233 PM CDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday
A ridge of surface high pressure, extending from east Texas to
the mid Atlantic region, will remain in place during this period.
A short wavelength mid level ridge will increase in amplitude over
the mid south during this period as well. These features will
promote continued dry conditions in the short term.

Below normal temperatures are expected again tonight. An overall
warming trend is expected during this period, with above normal
afternoon temperatures expected for Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday
Initially, upper ridging will be over the region. However, by the
weekend, this will shift eastward, as the North American longwave
pattern amplifies. Southwest upper flow will develop, with a trough
digging down into the southern plains. This will allow large-scale
moisture increase, and will push a cold front into the region by
Sunday. This is looking like the most decent shot at/highest
coverage of rainfall we`ve had in a while.

Colder air will lag the front a bit, with the boundary clearing the
area around Sunday night or early Monday, and temperatures cooling
down Monday/Monday night as northwest upper flow sets in and pushes
high pressure into the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     45  77  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         45  80  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       46  77  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    45  78  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  46  78  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     48  78  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      43  78  47  80 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  44  77  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        45  77  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     46  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   43  77  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         43  78  47  80 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      47  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...55 / Long Term...57