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000
FXUS64 KLZK 162333 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
635 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAINLY
HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT...THEN PATCHY MID AND LOWER CLOUDS ON
THURSDAY. WINDS THIS EVENING WILL BE AT 5 TO 15 MPH...LOWERING TO
LESS THAN 10 MPH OVERNIGHT. ON THURSDAY...CONTINUED S TO SE WINDS OF
5 TO 15 MPH. (59)

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

AN UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE NATIONS MID SECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND
WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH ARKANSAS AS AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN U.S. ON FRIDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES TO
THE EAST COAST AND THE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER OVER THE PLAINS...WHICH
WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST SATURDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS MOVING EAST OUT OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
AS THIS HIGH SHIFTS EAST...WINDS ARE PICKING UP OVER THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH. THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE AROUND
SUNSET. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE RAIN
WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF THE AREA FRIDAY. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE
THROUGH ARKANSAS MAINLY SATURDAY NIGHT AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TONIGHT WILL BE WARMER THAN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND A GENERAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS THE PERIOD
BEGINS. THERE WILL BE GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM SUNDAY/MONDAY.

THE SYSTEM WILL EXIT TO THE EAST BY TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS DECREASING
AND FAIR WEATHER RETURNING.

STRONG RIDGING WILL BE NOTED OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY AS
THE PERIOD ENDS. THIS WILL BE IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM
DIGGING INTO CALIFORNIA. AS RIDGING OCCURS...IT WILL ONLY GET
WARMER.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL...AND COULD BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     38  65  47  69 /   0  10  20  20
CAMDEN AR         40  70  47  75 /   0  10  20  20
HARRISON AR       37  65  45  68 /   0  10  30  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    40  67  47  75 /   0  10  20  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  41  68  49  73 /   0  10  20  20
MONTICELLO AR     41  71  50  74 /   0  10  20  20
MOUNT IDA AR      40  66  46  74 /   0  10  20  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  37  64  45  68 /   0  10  30  20
NEWPORT AR        39  66  49  70 /   0  10  20  20
PINE BLUFF AR     42  69  50  74 /   0  10  20  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   38  66  46  72 /   0  10  20  20
SEARCY AR         39  67  48  71 /   0  10  20  20
STUTTGART AR      41  68  51  73 /   0  10  20  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...46