Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 261006
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
406 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN
CONTROL TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINTAINING DRY LOW AND MID LEVELS.
MOISTURE IN THE UPPER LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION...BUT THE CIRRUS SHOULD BE THIN ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS...LEADING TO A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. A MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THIS MORNING ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS WHILE A LIGHT W TO NW FLOW
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LAND. THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS PROGD TO SHIFT FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH TODAY RESULTING IN
A LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE DIRECTION
GENERALLY W TO NW THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SW TO S TONIGHT TO WESTERLY
ON TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...CONCUR WITH THE
GFS/ECMWF DETERMINISTIC SOLNS THAT AN UPPER RIDGE WL PERSIST OVER
THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE MODELS ALSO PROG AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACRS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS WEDNESDAY THEN ACRS
THE MIDWEST THURSDAY WHICH WL CONTRIBUTE TO THE SWD PENETRATION OF A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE CWA/MSA THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. EXPECT MSTR
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT TO TRIGGER ISOLD CONVECTION. WIND NOT
EXPECTED TO REACH SCA CONDITIONS AFTER THE FRONT MOVES ACRS THE MSA.
GFS/ECMWF PROG ISENTROPIC LIFT SATURDAY. CONCUR WITH THE ECMWF THAT
ISENTROPIC LIFT WL CONTINUE SUNDAY. WL FCST STRATIFORM RAINFALL FOR
SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    72  47  75  51  74  /   0   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          71  47  75  49  74  /   0   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            76  49  79  50  81  /   0   0   0   0   0
ALICE             75  47  79  51  78  /   0   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          69  50  71  53  68  /   0   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           76  46  78  48  80  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        74  47  78  51  77  /   0   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       69  51  71  53  68  /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TE/81...SHORT TERM
WC/87...LONG TERM




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