Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 280907
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 AM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LOOKS LIKE WE WILL SQUEEZE OUT ONE...MAYBE TWO...DRY DAYS BEFORE
TROPICAL MOISTURE STARTS TO STREAM INTO THE AREA FROM THE GULF.
MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING FROM THE
PLAINS STATES INTO THE OH VALLEY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHILE A
SHORTWAVE PIVOTS MOVES NORTHWARD OUT OF THE GULF INTO THE
SOUTHEAST STATES. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL LIKELY BRING A
NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES TO CENTRAL ALABAMA
OVER THE WEEKEND. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ONGOING
FORECAST...AND WILL KEEP THE LIKELY POPS FOR MANY AREAS SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. AN WEST-EAST ORIENTED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME REESTABLISHED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
COUNTRY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD DROP DAILY RAIN CHANCES DOWN
TO CLIMO LEVELS (AT MOST)...WHILE ALSO CAUSING AFTERNOON HIGHS TO
CLIMB WELL INTO THE 90S ONCE AGAIN.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. CALM WINDS
OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     94  65  94  70  90 /   0   0  10  20  60
ANNISTON    93  66  93  71  89 /   0   0  10  20  60
BIRMINGHAM  94  69  94  73  91 /   0   0  10  20  60
TUSCALOOSA  95  69  95  74  91 /   0   0  10  30  60
CALERA      94  69  94  73  91 /   0   0  10  20  60
AUBURN      93  68  94  72  90 /   0   0  10  20  50
MONTGOMERY  95  69  95  73  92 /   0   0  10  20  50
TROY        94  67  94  72  91 /   0   0  20  20  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$




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