Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KBMX 311128
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
628 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

BOY ARE THINGS DIFFERENT ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY. TEMPERATURES ONLY A FEW DEGREES COOLER...BUT THE
DIFFERENCE IS DEWPOINTS. THIS TIME 24 HOURS AGO KEET HAD A
DEWPOINT OF 75 DEGREES...WHERE NOW THE DEWPOINT IS 64 DEGREES. IT
FEELS QUITE NICE OUTSIDE. THIS DRIER AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL SLIDE
AROUND THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF A DIGGING TROUGH IN THE EAST. WE WILL
REMAIN CUTOFF OF MOISTURE FOR THE MOST PART AS THE MAIN FRONT
REMAINS ALONG THE GULF COAST. THERE IS JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE TO
POSSIBLE GENERATE AN AFTERNOON SHOWER/STORM IN THE SOUTHEAST BUT
WILL GENERALLY BE LIMITED TO THE I-85 CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MORE SEASONABLE WITH LOW 90S THROUGH THE SATURDAY.

A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH READINGS BACK
INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S. WE SHOULD REMAIN IN THE DRIER
AIRMASS...SO HEAT INDEX VALUES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. BETTER RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO WORK IN ON WEDNESDAY NEXT
WEEK AND REMAIN IN THE 30 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK...MAINLY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACTIVITY

16


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE TERMINALS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IS LOCATED NEAR KTOI AND EXPECT THIS BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTH. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TERMINALS WITH THE ONLY REAL THREAT OF AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON
SHOWER OR STORM AT KTOI. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS TO OVER 10KTS BUT SHOULD SUBSIDE NEAR SUNSET.

05/MA

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A DRIER AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE OVER MOST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
TODAY. LIMITED RAIN CHANCES TO THE FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.