Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 181141 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
540 AM CST Thu Jan 18 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected through tonight. Arctic high pressure
will slowly build toward the southeast United States. Clockwise flow
around the high will bring southwest winds at 6 to 12 mph today.
There may be a few gusts from 16 to 20 mph in northwest Arkansas.
Winds will be south to southwest at 4 to 8 mph tonight. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Friday Night
Arctic high pressure will very slowly build toward the southeast
United States the next couple of days. Winds will turn to the
southwest in Arkansas, and a warming trend will begin.

While below average temperatures remain in the forecast today,
readings will climb above freezing at most locations. On Friday,
readings will be close to seasonal.

Dry conditions will hold through Friday, but that will change
heading into the extended period. A northwest wind flow out of
Canada will be put on hold, and the southern stream will become
more dominant.

One system will go by to the south Friday night, with increasing
clouds locally. A new storm system will emerge in California, and
this will be the feature to watch moving forward.
&&

.LONG TERM...Saturday Through Wednesday
An area of upper low pressure will move southeast of Arkansas
Saturday with an upper trough over the western U.S. Ridging builds
into Arkansas Saturday night as the western trough moves through the
Rockies. The upper trough moves into the Plains Sunday and into the
upper Midwest Monday. Zonal flow moves into the Plains and Southern
Plains Tuesday.

Moisture will be on the increase Saturday...and rain chances will
increase Saturday night ahead of an approaching cold front. The
models have the front coming into Arkansas a little later...Sunday
evening. This will bring good chances of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Some of the storms could become strong with strong
winds the main concern. Monday through Wednesday will be dry. Near
normal temperatures are expected...with much above normal on Sunday
with south winds ahead of the front.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     41  24  49  36 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         42  21  51  38 /   0   0  10  10
Harrison AR       42  24  52  37 /   0   0   0  10
Hot Springs AR    42  23  50  38 /   0   0   0  20
Little Rock   AR  41  22  50  36 /   0   0   0  10
Monticello AR     40  22  49  37 /   0   0   0  10
Mount Ida AR      43  23  51  39 /   0   0  10  20
Mountain Home AR  42  22  52  36 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        37  21  47  34 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     39  21  49  37 /   0   0   0  10
Russellville AR   42  22  52  36 /   0   0   0  10
Searcy AR         39  21  48  34 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      37  21  48  36 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...51



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