Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 170514
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1214 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 17/06Z TAFS...CONVECTION HAS FINALLY DISSIPATED AND THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT SHOULD BE PRECIP FREE. LOW STRATUS AND FOG
MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA BEFORE SUNRISE. THIS IS A
BIT UNCERTAIN AS SLY FLOW FROM THE GULF OF MX IS NOT PARTICULARLY
STRONG AND ABUNDANT MID/HIGH LVL CLOUDS WILL PERSIST WHICH USUALLY
TEND TO LIMIT FOG POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...LOW LVL AIRMASS IS QUITE
MOIST AND AREAS AROUND LUFKIN RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
LAST 24 HRS. IF MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS DO MATERIALIZE...IMPROVING
FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY MID MORNING. MORE SCT CONVECTION
IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY S OF I-20.
KLFK WOULD BE THE TAF SITE MOST LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED BUT A WEAK
UPPER LVL DISTURBANCE AND A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT COULD LEAD TO
SCT CONVECTION JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE. SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE AFTER 18/00Z. /09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 901 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO UPDATE NEEDED AT MANDATORY UPDATE TIME...

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  91  69  90  70 /  20  30  10  10  10
MLU  70  89  67  90  69 /  10  30  10  10  10
DEQ  69  87  66  88  67 /  20  30  10  10  10
TXK  71  88  67  89  69 /  20  30  10  10  10
ELD  70  87  66  89  67 /  10  30  10  10  10
TYR  72  88  70  89  71 /  30  40  20  10  10
GGG  71  89  70  89  70 /  30  30  20  10  10
LFK  73  88  72  90  71 /  30  40  20  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09



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