Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KSHV 222127
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
427 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE INCREASE THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA FOR THE OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE PASSES
OVER THE AREA IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT. AFTER TONIGHT
THE RAIN CHANCES WILL STEADLY INCREASE OVER THE FOUR STATE REGION
AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE COUNTRY
AND NORTHERN BAJA REGION MOVES EAST WITH TRAILING TROUGH AMPLIFIES
SOUTH. THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH AND BROUGHT THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE GULF AND INTO
SOUTH AND WEST TEXAS. THIS FRONT WILL BE LIFTING BACK NORTHEAST AS
A WARM FRONT ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST.
MOISTURE AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS THE
RED RIVER VALLEY REGION OF NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY
MIDDLE OF THE WEEKEND WITH MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL
LINGERING INTO SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTRIBUT TO MORE WATER RUNOFF MOVING DOWN THE RED RIVER AND
TRIBUTARIES...AND PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING FOR THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATE WEEKEND AND START TO THE WORK WEEK. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL MOST LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THE MORNING SATRUDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES AND
POSSIBLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL PRODUCE QUICK WATER RUNOFF AND
FLOODING. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WORK WEEK WITH
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSUR RETURNING ANOTHER ROUND OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ADDING TO THE TOTAL ACCUMULATED
RAINFALL FOR THE REGION TO 4 TO 6 INCHES AND HIGHER. THIS WILL
PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR RIVER/LAKE AND FLASH FLOODING INTO THE
WORKWEEK. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  83  71  82 /  10  20  50  70
MLU  60  84  70  86 /   0  20  30  40
DEQ  58  79  68  76 /  20  30  70  80
TXK  60  82  69  80 /  20  30  60  80
ELD  57  83  69  83 /  10  20  30  60
TYR  65  82  71  78 /  20  40  60  80
GGG  64  82  71  80 /  20  40  60  80
LFK  69  83  72  82 /  20  40  50  80

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.