Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 311716
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1216 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.AVIATION...
Very active aviation day for sites to our west so far today but
pretty quiet closer to home. Nice cu field has developed across
all terminals early this afternoon and with additional heating...
expect to see widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
developing...some of which could impact our terminal sites.
Added VCTS to all sites this afternoon/evening except for the
LFK/MLU/ELD terminals which based on the latest data coming in...
it appears like coverage would be to isolated to warrant a
mention. As expected...expect lower ceilings/vsbys and strong/
gusty winds in and around tsra today through this evening.
Confidence is not very high on just how much continuation we will
see with this activity through the overnight hours so kept it out
of this taf package for now. What we should see is increasing mid
and high level clouds from the west which could help to prevent
very low vsbys in a few locations in the morning so just added
minimal 3-5SM across most locations a couple hours either side of
sunrise which much lower vsby and/or ceiling restriction possible
at the LFK terminal.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1010 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A weak surface boundary is the focus of convection across southern
Oklahoma this morning. This broken line of thunderstorms to
possibly make it to McCurtain County and adjacent counties in
Northeast Texas and Southwest Arkansas by early afternoon.
Otherwise, scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible
across the region with high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s.
Current forecast is on track, no updates at this time. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  86  70  83 /  30  40  60  60
MLU  70  87  71  86 /  20  30  40  50
DEQ  67  82  67  79 /  50  70  60  60
TXK  68  82  68  81 /  40  60  60  60
ELD  69  84  69  82 /  30  40  60  60
TYR  69  83  68  81 /  40  70  60  70
GGG  69  84  69  81 /  40  60  60  70
LFK  70  85  70  82 /  20  50  60  60

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05/13



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