Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 041957
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
257 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT RIGHT ON HEELS OF WEAK COLD FRONT LAST NIGHT
THAT PASSED THROUGH THE AREA. NOT EVEN A HINT OF CLOUDS WITH THIS
FROPA UNDER DEEP NW FLOW AS DEEP UPPER LOW SLIDING DOWN FROM LOWER
GREAT LAKES INTO OHIO VALLEY. AMPLIFIED RIDGING BETWEEN THIS
LOW...AND ANOTHER STG LOW JUST OFF THE CA COAST...CREATING OMEGA
TYPE BLOCK THAT WILL KEEP AREA DRY AND MOSTLY CLOUD FREE INTO THE
WEEKEND. BREEZE TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH ANOTHER TWO DECENT
NIGHTS OF GOOD RADIATION COOLING THEREAFTER...KEEPING TEMPS WELL
WITHIN THE 50S AND EVEN SOME 40S AT NIGHT. HOWEVER...THIS PATTERN
MEANS THAT ONCE THE RIDGE IS FINALLY DISPLACED BY UPPER LOW OFF
WEST COAST...BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE LOW WILL STICK AROUND FOR
AWHILE. FORTUNATELY...ATTM IT APPEARS THAT MAIN ENERGY WILL REMAIN
NORTH OF CWA...WITH MOSTLY SCATTERED CONVECTION FURTHER SOUTH INTO
OUR AREA./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1247 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 04/18Z TERMINAL FORECAST PERIOD FORECASTING VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORIES TO PREVAIL WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS AROUND 4 KFT THIS
AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY INTO THE EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING. CLOUD
ALSO SEE A FEW CIRRUS/HIGH CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE WEST TO
NORTHWEST 8-15 KNOTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS UNTIL AROUND 04/23Z
WHEN SPEEDS LOWER TO 4-8 KNOTS. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1033 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...
10 AM TEMPS ARE RIGHT AROUND 70 DEGREES...GIVE OR TAKE A DEGREE OR
TWO. EXPECT TEMPS TO EASILY RISE ANOTHER 10 DEGREES OR SO BY
AFTN. SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS TO INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
THUS...AFTN HIGHS SHOULD BE AT LEAST AROUND 80 DEGREES. NO UPDATE
NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  52  76  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  51  77  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  50  76  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  53  78  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  55  80  53  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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