Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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469
FXUS64 KMEG 270436
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1136 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 911 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016/

UPDATE...

Cooler and drier air continues to filter into the Mid-South this
evening. Current temperatures are already a little lower than what was
expected. Cirrus may continue to stream over the area during the
overnight hours, but think it will be little to impact
temperatures. As a result, will lower lows a tad. Update will be
out shortly.

KRM

DISCUSSION... /issued 305 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016/

It took us about 3 weeks to make the needed repairs to the Fall
button, but we finally got if figured out.

Early afternoon temperatures across the Midsouth range from 69-70
degrees in portions of Northeast Arkansas to 93 degrees in Monroe
county in Northeast Mississippi...with the majority of the region
in the 70s. The first significant cold front of the season has
finally pushed across the area. Morning lows to our Northwest this
morning were in the 50s. Much of the Midsouth should see
similar readings tonight. Insolation will lose its battle with
cold air advection in Northeast Mississippi this evening...having
already lost the battle across across the remainder of the
Midsouth. After warming into the upper 80s to low 90s
today...portions of North Mississippi may not be able to fall out
of the 60s. Nevertheless...much of the Midsouth will see the
coolest temperatures since May. Skies will clear overnight.

Tomorrow should be a banner Fall day featuring clear skies...high
temperatures in the middle 70s to near 80 degrees...low humidity
and a refreshing Northerly breeze.

A deep cutoff low over the Southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley
will remain place through the work week into the weekend keeping
strong North to Northwest flow aloft over the Midsouth. At the
surface...a surface high over the plains will not allow any
moisture to return to the region. As a result dry conditions will
continue tomorrow into next weekend. A spoke of energy is
expected to rotate around the cutoff low midweek ushering in an
associated cold front late Wednesday into Thursday. Expect a
reinforcing shot of cool air Thursday keeping Fall like
Conditions around through next weekend. After tonight...the
next coolest morning lows look to be Friday morning when there
may be some upper 40s near the Tennessee River...with widespread
50s. If we see any 80 degree or warmer temperatures over the next
7 days...they would mostly occur Wednesday Afternoon.

Welcome to Fall Yall.

30

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR and light north winds overnight. North winds 6-9 kts expected
on Tuesday with clear skies.

SJM

&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$



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