Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 021118
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
418 AM MST WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DAILY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE STATE. DRIER CONDITIONS MAY RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BE MOST
FOCUSED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...THOUGH STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ELSEWHERE AS WELL.
THIS IS THE EXPECTED SYNOPTIC SCENARIO UNDER THE MOIST SOUTHERLY
THAT REMAINS IN PLACE. AS WE ENTER THE WEEKEND...FLOW WILL TURN
MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AS LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GREAT BASIN. THIS MAY LEAD TO A BIT OF A DOWNTURN IN ACTIVITY FROM
LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...BUT DON`T EXPECT A COMPLETE
SHUT-OFF IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BY ANY MEANS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER NORTHEASTERN ARIZONA TODAY WITH MORE
ISOLATED COVERAGE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA. IFR CONDITIONS WILL
OCCUR NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS WITH HAIL AND ERRATIC GUSTY
SURFACE WINDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH. STORM ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH
AROUND SUNSET. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD
AVIATION...BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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