Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FXUS63 KDLH 242045
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
345 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

AT 330 AM A WIDE VARIETY OF WEATHER CONDITIONS WAS FOUND ACROSS
THE NORTHLAND. MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF SNOW HAD FALLEN AT THE DULUTH
AIRPORT AS WELL AS AT WOLF RIDGE ENVIRONMENTAL LEARNING CENTER
NEAR FINLAND MINNESOTA. WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE AMOUNTS INCREASE
FAIRLY RAPIDLY ACROSS THE ARROWHEAD...WITH PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING IN THE SOUTH. SOME RAIN WAS MIXED IN WITH THE SNOW OR
EVEN FALLING AS ALL SNOW AT SOME INLAND LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES
WERE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S.

WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE TEMPERATURES SLOWLY FALL FOR MUCH OF THE
CWA...AS PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW FOR MANY AREAS...ESPECIALLY
IN THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF THE CWA. STILL LOOKING LIKE A GOOD FOOT OF
SNOW...GIVE OR TAKE...FOR THE TIP OF THE ARROWHEAD INCLUDING THE
GUNFLINT TRAIL. IN THE DULUTH AREA WE ARE GENERALLY LOOKING FOR 3
TO 5 INCHES...ESPECIALLY INLAND FROM THE LAKE AND IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO BE HIGHLY VARIABLE DUE TO THE MIX
OF PRECIPITATION AND CHANGE OF PTYPE.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY...BUT THE TIP
OF THE ARROWHEAD WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. TEMPS SHOULD BE WARMER ON FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

THE CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST FRIDAY NIGHT.  AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IN
CANADA WILL AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT.  SKIES WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY WITH BELOW TEMPS.  A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES ON
SUNDAY AND WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH SD AND IOWA THROUGH TUESDAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE WITH TEMPS NEAR THE
FREEZING MARK SUNDAY NIGHT.  THE THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE ON MONDAY.  THE MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE SOUTH
AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH IOWA AND ILLINOIS.
THE LOW CENTER DRIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES BY LATE WEEK
WHICH WILL KEEP CLOUDS ACROSS ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS IN NW WI.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY MORNING) ISSUED
AT 330 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

MAINLY IFR-LIFR AT ALL TAF SITES DUE TO SNOWFALL. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MOST OF THE NIGHT FOR THE SITES.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO IFR-MVFR BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
WITH MVFR-VFR CONDITIONS BY MID-MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  31  47  28  40 / 100  40  20  10
INL  32  46  27  46 / 100  50  10  10
BRD  33  55  31  49 /  50  20  10  10
HYR  32  52  29  49 /  90  20  10  10
ASX  32  46  28  41 / 100  40  20  10

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR MNZ010-011-019-
     020.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON CDT FRIDAY FOR MNZ012-021.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR MNZ037.

WI...NONE.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR LSZ143>146.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR LSZ121-140>142-
     147-148.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DAP
LONG TERM...DAP
AVIATION...CANNON






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