Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 111111
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
511 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013

.AVIATION...
DESPITE A BRIEF WINDOW FOR MVFR CONDITIONS ON THE FRONT END OF THIS
TAF ISSUANCE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. A POST FRONTAL
STRATUS DECK HAS BEEN DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN
KANSAS OVER THE PAST HOUR WHICH MATCHES WITH SHORT RANGE MODEL
FORECASTS. HAVE INSERTED TEMPO MVFR CONDITIONS FOR KGUY UNTIL 15Z
DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE OF THE STRATUS DECK. KEPT KAMA AND KDHT
VFR BUT INSERTED A MVFR FEW TO SCT DECK GIVEN THE SCATTERED NATURE
OF THE STRATUS DECK AND LOWER CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE AT THESE
TERMINALS. ANY LOWER CEILINGS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 16Z TO
18Z AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF.

SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTH WITH 10 TO 15 MPH WINDS. AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES...SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY 01Z ON THE 12TH WHILE ALSO DECREASING TO OR BELOW 10 MPH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CST WED DEC 11 2013/

DISCUSSION...
MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL CLOSED LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OFF
NORTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND...PRODUCING
BOUTS OF INCREASED CLOUD COVER FOR PANHANDLES THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT.  MOSTLY CLEAR SKY EXPECTED THEREAFTER.  LOWER LEVELS REMAIN
DRY WITH NO PRECIPITATION IN FORECAST.

HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT
BELOW THOSE OF YESTERDAY...THANKS TO COLD FRONT WHICH PASSED
OVERNIGHT.  RESPECTABLE RECOVERY ON THURSDAY WITH WESTERN HALF OF
FORECAST AREA RISING ABOVE 50 DEGREES.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT ON
FRIDAY EXPECTED TO KEEP NORTHERN SECTIONS BELOW 50 DEGREES.  COLD
AIR ADVECTION ON SATURDAY KEEPS MAXIMA IN ALL SECTIONS IN THE 40S.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY SHOULD BE WARMER AS AIRMASS MODIFIES.  SLIGHTLY
COOLER ON TUESDAY BEHIND NEXT COLD FRONT.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/03
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