Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 251956

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
256 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016


Skies are partly cloudy across the forecast area this afternoon
with temperatures in the 90s. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms have developed over western sections of the forecast
area. A cold front was located from western Illinois through
western Arkansas and into east Texas. So far, there has not been
much in the way thunderstorms that have developed ahead of the

As the cold front moves east tonight reaching the forecast area
overnight some thunderstorms may develop ahead of the front and
moves into region. Temperatures will remain on the warm side
tonight with lows Monday morning in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
THe cold front will move out of the forecast area Monday morning
with some more thunderstorms expected to develop near the front.
Drier and cooler air will start to move into the region on Monday
with highs ranging from the mid 70s to mid 80s. This will be some
15 degrees cooler than today.

High pressure will start take control of the weather by Monday
evening. This will result in dry weather and below normal
temperatures with lows Tuesday morning in the upper 40s to upper
50s. High pressure will remain over the eastern U.S. for much of
the week. This will result in an extended period of dry weather
from Tuesday through next Sunday. Temperatures will also remain
below normal for this period.




VFR conditions expected through the first half of the Taf Cycle at
TAF sites. A cold front will move through the area tonight into
Monday morning. At least VCSH is expected near JBR by 03z...09z at
MEM...12z at MKL and by 14z at TUP...continuing through the end of
the TAF Period. Cigs will lower to around KFT as showers move in.
Light SE/S winds will veer NW/N between 6-10 kts with passage of
cold front.



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